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Live prediction market odds for Bahia vs. Palmeiras. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Bahia vs. Palmeiras

Brasileirão·2026-10-08

Best price · tap to trade

Palmeiras64¢1.56xKalshiDraw23¢4.35xKalshiBahia18¢5.56xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Palmeiras about a 61.6% chance. Draw follows at 21.3% and Bahia follows at 17.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give Palmeiras about a 61.6% chance. Draw follows at 21.3% and Bahia follows at 17.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Bahia vs. Palmeiras: Brazilian Série A game scheduled for 2026-10-08. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms

Moneyline

OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
P
Palmeiras
62%
Kalshi64¢
Polymarket65¢
Kalshi1.56x64¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
61.3%59¢64¢36¢42¢
PolymarketPolymarket
62.0%59¢65¢35¢41¢
D
Draw
21%
Kalshi23¢
Polymarket23¢
Kalshi4.44x23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.5%17¢23¢78¢84¢
PolymarketPolymarket
23.0%21¢23¢77¢79¢
B
Bahia
17%
Kalshi18¢
Polymarket18¢
Kalshi5.71x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.5%13¢18¢83¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
17.0%16¢18¢82¢84¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Leader

Palmeiras

61.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Bahia vs. Palmeiras

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Palmeiras wins the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Palmeiras vs Bahia professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 8, 2026 If SE Palmeiras wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Bahia vs. Palmeiras prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Bahia vs. Palmeiras odds?

The latest available prices are Palmeiras: 61.3¢ on Kalshi, 62.0¢ on Polymarket; Draw: 19.5¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket; Bahia: 17.5¢ on Kalshi, 17.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Bahia vs. Palmeiras odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 3.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Bahia vs. Palmeiras prediction market payouts work?

For example, Palmeiras at 61.6¢ implies about a 61.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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