CMA Awards: Male Vocalist of the Year
Live prediction market odds for CMA Awards: Male Vocalist of the Year. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Compare all 6 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Cody Johnson about a 60.0% chance. Luke Combs follows at 20.0%, Chris Stapleton follows at 12.5%, and Tie follows at 4.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Zach Top wins Male Vocalist of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThe Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year. If a listed artist is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Male Vocalist of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning artist whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The winner is determined by votes from the CMA members, which include industry professionals. The award is presented during the CMA Awards ceremony.
Odds are influenced by nominees' recent performances, album releases, and public reception. Industry awards and nominations can also impact perceptions of likely winners.
Trading closes on November 19, 2026, before the CMA Awards ceremony. This allows traders to speculate on the outcome leading up to the event.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Cody Johnson: 60.0¢ on Kalshi, 60.0¢ on Polymarket; Luke Combs: 21.0¢ on Kalshi, 19.0¢ on Polymarket; Chris Stapleton: 9.0¢ on Kalshi, 16.0¢ on Polymarket; Tie: 4.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
