CMA Awards: Music Video of the Year
Live prediction market odds for CMA Awards: Music Video of the Year. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Traders give Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley) about a 63.8% chance. Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.) follows at 26.0%, Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves) follows at 10.8%, and White Horse (Chris Stapleton) follows at 7.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf White Horse wins Music Video of the Year at the 60th Country Music Association Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThe Country Music Association Awards are presented annually by the Country Music Association (CMA) to honor outstanding achievement in country music. The 60th Annual Country Music Association Awards are currently scheduled for November 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed music video that wins the 60th Annual Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year. If a listed music video is not officially nominated for the Country Music Association Award for Music Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the tied winning music video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the CMA Awards and the Country Music Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://cmaawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The winner is decided during the CMA Awards ceremony based on votes from the Country Music Association members. Public voting may also influence the nominations leading up to the event.
Odds can change based on the announcement of nominees, promotional activities by artists, and public sentiment reflected in social media and streaming metrics. Additionally, performances during the ceremony may impact voter perception.
Trading for the Music Video of the Year market closes on November 19, 2026. This deadline is set for the venue and does not indicate the exact timing of the award announcement.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Choosin' Texas (Ella Langley): 64.0¢ on Kalshi, 63.5¢ on Polymarket; Gary (Stephen Wilson Jr.): 24.0¢ on Kalshi, 28.0¢ on Polymarket; Dry Spell (Kacey Musgraves): 7.5¢ on Kalshi, 14.0¢ on Polymarket; White Horse (Chris Stapleton): 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
