Traders give Beyoncé about a 98.0% chance. Dua Lipa follows at 97.0%, Lady Gaga follows at 91.0%, and SZA follows at 79.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Jay-Z is a 25-time Grammy Award-winning rapper and entrepreneur. He co-founded Roc Nation in 2008, a leading entertainment agency. His extensive experience in the music industry and business ventures makes him a key figure in entertainment.
About Beyoncé
Beyoncé is a renowned American singer-songwriter and businesswoman. She achieved billionaire status in December 2025, becoming the fifth musician to do so, with her 2023 Renaissance World Tour grossing nearly $600 million. Her influence in the music industry is unparalleled, with a track record of record-breaking tours and critically acclaimed albums.
About Dua Lipa
Dua Lipa is a British singer-songwriter and actress. She released her third studio album, 'Radical Optimism,' in May 2024, showcasing a psychedelic-pop sound. Lipa's influence extends beyond music, with recent partnerships as a Global Brand Ambassador for Nespresso and Bulgari.
About Lady Gaga
Lady Gaga is a singer, songwriter, and actress. She has sold over 170 million records and won 13 Grammy Awards. She co-chairs the President's Committee on the Arts and the Humanities.
About SZA
SZA is an American singer-songwriter and the first artistic director of Vans. She gained prominence with her debut album 'Ctrl' in 2017 and has since won multiple Grammy Awards. Her unique blend of R&B and alternative styles has significantly influenced contemporary music.
About Adele
Adele is a British singer-songwriter and actress. She is best known for her powerful vocals and emotive songwriting, with hits like "Someone Like You" and "Hello." Adele has received numerous awards, including multiple Grammy Awards and an Academy Award for Best Original Song.
About Drake
Drake is a Canadian rapper, singer, and entrepreneur. He released three new albums in May 2026: 'Iceman,' 'Maid of Honour,' and 'Habibti.' He is known for his significant influence in the music industry and his record-breaking achievements.
About Taylor Swift
Taylor Swift is a singer-songwriter and record producer. She achieved global fame with her self-titled debut album in 2006. Swift has re-recorded her earlier albums to regain control over her music rights.
About Travis Scott
Travis Scott is an American rapper, producer, and fashion designer affiliated with Cactus Jack Records and Epic Records. He released his fourth studio album, 'Utopia,' in July 2023, which debuted at number one on the Billboard 200 chart. Scott is recognized for his significant influence in music and fashion, with a global fan base and a history of successful collaborations.
About Rihanna
Rihanna is a Barbadian singer, actress, and entrepreneur. She is the founder of Fenty Beauty and former CEO of Savage X Fenty. She is known for her diverse talents and significant impact on the fashion and beauty industries.
About Doja Cat
Doja Cat is an American rapper, singer, and songwriter signed to Kemosabe and RCA Records. She released her fourth studio album, 'Scarlet,' in September 2023, which debuted within the top 5 in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. She is known for her versatility in blending hip-hop, pop, and R&B genres, and has been recognized with multiple awards, including a Grammy.
About The Weeknd
Abel Tesfaye, known professionally as The Weeknd, is a Canadian singer, songwriter, and record producer. He co-created and starred in the HBO series 'The Idol,' which premiered in 2023. His significant influence in the music industry is evident through his record-breaking streaming numbers and multiple award wins.
About Bad Bunny
Bad Bunny is a Puerto Rican singer and rapper, currently on his 'Debí Tirar Más Fotos' world tour. He released his sixth studio album, 'Debí Tirar Más Fotos,' on January 5, 2025. He is recognized for his significant influence in the Latin music industry and his record-breaking streaming numbers.
About Nicki Minaj
Nicki Minaj is a recording artist and music executive affiliated with Republic Records. She launched her own record label in March 2023, signing artists like Nana Fofie and Rico Danna. Minaj's influence in the music industry is significant, with over 140 million records sold worldwide and ongoing chart dominance.
About Justin Bieber
Justin Bieber is a Canadian singer and songwriter. He gained international fame with his debut album, 'My World 2.0,' in 2010. Bieber is recognized for his contributions to pop and R&B music, with numerous chart-topping singles and albums.
About Eminem
Eminem is a rapper and record producer affiliated with Shady Records and Aftermath Entertainment. He released his twelfth studio album, 'The Death of Slim Shady (Coup de Grâce),' in 2024. Eminem is renowned for his technical skill and cultural influence in the hip-hop industry.
About Kendrick Lamar
Kendrick Lamar is a Grammy Award-winning rapper and producer, co-founder of the creative agency pgLang. He has been recognized for his influential contributions to hip-hop, including winning the Pulitzer Prize for his 2017 album 'DAMN.' His innovative approach to music and culture has solidified his status as a leading figure in the entertainment industry.
About Sabrina Carpenter
Sabrina Carpenter is an American singer, songwriter, and actress. She gained prominence starring as Maya Hart on the Disney Channel series 'Girl Meets World' (2014–2017). Carpenter has released multiple studio albums and embarked on several headlining tours, showcasing her versatility and success in the entertainment industry.
About Frank Ocean
Frank Ocean is an American singer-songwriter and rapper. He is known for his innovative contributions to the alternative R&B genre. His influence and artistry have significantly shaped contemporary music.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Who will announce a new tour this year?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
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Primary Rule
If Rihanna announces a new tour before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
What factors influence tour announcement predictions?
Factors include recent album releases, artist social media activity, and historical patterns of tour announcements. Additionally, fan demand and industry trends play a significant role.
How do prediction markets work for entertainment events?
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as tour announcements. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the probability of these events occurring.
Why are tour announcements significant for artists?
Tour announcements are crucial for artists as they generate revenue and maintain fan engagement. They also serve as a marketing tool to promote new music and strengthen an artist's brand.
Who will announce a new tour this year: what does this prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
Who will announce a new tour this year: what are the current odds?
The latest available prices are Beyoncé: 98.0¢ on Kalshi; Dua Lipa: 97.0¢ on Kalshi; Lady Gaga: 91.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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