Oscar nominations for Best Actor?
Live prediction market odds for Oscar nominations for Best Actor?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Compare all 34 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give John Malkovich about a 95.5% chance. Matt Damon follows at 92.8%, Andrew Scott follows at 89.0%, and Tom Cruise follows at 51.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Sebastian Stan has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027.
PolymarketOdds are influenced by performances in films, critical reception, and awards season momentum. Additionally, industry buzz and media coverage play a crucial role.
The Oscar nominations for Best Actor will be announced on January 21, 2027. This date is critical for shaping the awards season narrative.
Prediction markets adjust in real-time based on new information, such as award wins or significant film releases. As public and critical sentiment shifts, so do the odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are John Malkovich: 96.0¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket; Matt Damon: 93.5¢ on Kalshi, 92.2¢ on Polymarket; Andrew Scott: 89.5¢ on Kalshi, 88.5¢ on Polymarket; Tom Cruise: 50.5¢ on Kalshi, 52.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
