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Live prediction market odds for Conference to Win the National Championship. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Kalshi / Polymarket

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Conference to Win the National Championship

Listed Sep 19, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Expected to settle by Feb 1, 2027

Best price · tap to trade

FBS Independents37¢2.70xPolymarketSEC38¢2.63xKalshiBig Ten27¢3.70xKalshi
Compare all 9 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give FBS Independents about a 37.0% chance. SEC follows at 37.0%, Big Ten follows at 27.3%, and Mountain West follows at 15.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Traders give FBS Independents about a 37.0% chance. SEC follows at 37.0%, Big Ten follows at 27.3%, and Mountain West follows at 15.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Conference to Win the National Championship for college football. This market resolves based on the outcome of the championship game scheduled for March 1, 2027, with odds fluctuating based on team performance and rankings leading up to the event.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
FI
FBS Independents
single venue37%
—
Polymarket37¢
Polymarket2.70x37¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
37.0%1¢37¢63¢99¢
S
SEC
37%
Kalshi38¢
Polymarket37¢
Kalshi2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
37.5%37¢38¢62¢63¢
PolymarketPolymarket
36.5%36¢37¢63¢64¢
BT
Big Ten
27%
Kalshi27¢
Polymarket30¢
Kalshi3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
25.5%24¢27¢73¢76¢
PolymarketPolymarket
29.0%28¢30¢70¢72¢
MW
Mountain West
single venue15%
—
Polymarket15¢
Polymarket6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%0.1¢15¢85¢99.9¢
A
ACC
13%
Kalshi15¢
Polymarket14¢
Kalshi6.67x15¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
14.0%13¢15¢85¢87¢
PolymarketPolymarket
12.0%10¢14¢86¢90¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.5%
Platforms2
Candidates9
Volume$153K
Leader

FBS Independents

37.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Conference to Win the National Championship

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the ACC wins the 2026 College Football National Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines the resolution of this market?

The market resolves based on which conference's team wins the National Championship game on March 1, 2027. Performance in the season and playoffs will influence the odds leading up to the event.

When does the National Championship game take place?

The National Championship game is scheduled for March 1, 2027. This date is critical for determining the winning conference.

How do team performances affect the odds in this market?

Team performances throughout the college football season and playoffs will impact the odds as they compete for the championship. Rankings and match outcomes will be closely monitored by the markets.

What does the Conference to Win the National Championship prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Conference to Win the National Championship odds?

The latest available prices are FBS Independents: 37.0¢ on Polymarket; SEC: 37.5¢ on Kalshi, 36.5¢ on Polymarket; Big Ten: 25.5¢ on Kalshi, 29.0¢ on Polymarket; Mountain West: 15.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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SEC Title Chances Fall to 38% After Georgia, Alabama Lose in Week 7Five of the AP top seven lost on Oct. 17, and the SEC dropped about 6 points in three days on Polymarket.Oct 20, 2026Notre Dame Title Chances Rise to 16% Before BYU GameThe market rose about 10 percentage points in three days, from 6%, as 6-0 Notre Dame visits No. 8 BYU. ESPN's FPI gives the Irish 18.0%.Oct 14, 2026