El Salvador Presidential Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for El Salvador Presidential Election Winner. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Listed Updated
Traders give Nayib Bukele about a 96.9% chance. Alirio García Flamenco follows at 3.0%, Rafael Aguirre follows at 2.4%, and Orlando del Cid follows at 1.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.4 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
PolymarketPresidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in El Salvador on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).
Predict.funPresidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in El Salvador on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).
The market resolves based on the official announcement of the election results. Only the candidate declared the winner by the electoral authority will settle the market.
Odds may fluctuate based on new polling data, campaign events, and public sentiment leading up to the election. Significant shifts in voter support can lead to rapid changes in market prices.
Trading is scheduled to close on March 1, 2027. However, the actual election results may be announced after this date.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Nayib Bukele: 95.2¢ on Polymarket, 98.6¢ on Predict.fun; Alirio García Flamenco: 3.0¢ on Polymarket; Rafael Aguirre: 2.4¢ on Polymarket; Orlando del Cid: 1.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
