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Live prediction market odds for Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie. Compare prices across .

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVED

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Sally Field Wins: Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Resolved 2026-09-14

This market resolved on 2026-09-14. Sally Field was the officially declared outcome.

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Emmy winner for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Emmy winner for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie. This prestigious award highlights exceptional performances in television, influencing industry recognition and future project opportunities for the nominees.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

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Candidate
Carey Mulligan
Claire Danes
Sally FieldWINNER
Sarah Pidgeon
Sarah Snook
Tie

Candidate Spotlight

About Carey Mulligan

Carey Mulligan is an English actress known for her versatile performances in film and theater. She gained critical acclaim for her role in 'An Education' (2009), earning her a BAFTA Award for Best Actress. Mulligan's extensive career includes notable films such as 'Promising Young Woman' (2020) and 'Maestro' (2023), showcasing her range and depth as an actress.

About Claire Danes

Claire Danes is an American actress known for her role as Carrie Mathison in the Showtime series 'Homeland.' She won the Primetime Emmy Award for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie for her performance in 'Temple Grandin.' Danes has received multiple Emmy and Golden Globe Awards for her work in television.

About Sally Field

Sally Field is an American actress and two-time Academy Award winner. She has received three Primetime Emmy Awards for her roles in 'Sybil,' 'ER,' and 'Brothers & Sisters.' Her extensive career and recognition in the entertainment industry make her a notable figure in this category.

About Sarah Pidgeon

Sarah Pidgeon is an American actress known for her role as Carolyn Bessette-Kennedy in the FX/Hulu drama series 'Love Story' (2026). She received critical acclaim for portraying the younger version of Clare Pierce in Hulu's 'Tiny Beautiful Things' (2023). Pidgeon earned a Tony Award nomination for Best Featured Actress in a Play for her performance in the Broadway production of 'Stereophonic' (2024).

About Sarah Snook

Sarah Snook is an Australian actress known for her role as Shiv Roy in the HBO series 'Succession'. She won the Primetime Emmy Award for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series in 2024 for this performance. Snook's versatility extends to theater, where she starred in the West End and Broadway productions of 'The Picture of Dorian Gray', earning the Laurence Olivier Award and Tony Award for Best Actress in a Play.

Resolution Oracles

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Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates6
Winner

Carey Mulligan

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Claire Danes has won Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Emmys. Any references to the Emmys, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Emmys and Kalshi.

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Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What criteria are used to determine the Emmy winner for this category?

The Emmy winner is selected based on outstanding performance in a limited or anthology series or movie, evaluated by the Television Academy's voting members. Factors include acting skill, character depth, and overall impact on the series.

How do prediction markets reflect the chances of nominees?

Prediction markets aggregate real-time betting odds based on public sentiment and expert analysis, providing insights into the perceived likelihood of each nominee winning. These odds can fluctuate based on recent performances, critical acclaim, and industry buzz.

When will the Emmy awards ceremony take place?

The Emmy awards ceremony for this category is scheduled for September 14, 2026. This date marks a key moment in the television awards calendar, drawing significant attention from fans and industry professionals alike.

What does the Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Emmy winner: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Mulligan Drops 12 Points as Pidgeon Pulls Within 5 at Emmy Lead ActressMulligan fell from 44% to 32% in three days. Pidgeon has climbed to 32.5% on Polymarket, turning a settled race into a two-candidate contest.Sep 10, 2026Hargitay's Double Emmy Win Cuts Snook to 15% in Three DaysSnook fell from 23% to 15% after Mariska Hargitay won two Creative Arts Emmys for My Mom Jayne, signaling broad Academy support for a rival project.Sep 8, 2026Sally Field Falls to 18% as Carey Mulligan Pulls Clear in Emmy RaceField dropped 12 points in three days despite leading the post-nomination press cycle. Mulligan holds 42%, with Sarah Snook second at 22%.Aug 26, 20262026 Emmy Predictions: Carey Mulligan Leads at 49%Carey Mulligan leads the 2026 limited-series lead actress market near 49%, ahead of Sarah Snook near 25% before final voting closes.Aug 21, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

BAFTA Film Awards: Best Supporting Actress WinnerLOSTPre-event: 2%

Historical Track Record

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BAFTA Film Awards: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Resolved

2026-02-22

LOSTCarey Mulligan
Pre-event: 2%