Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market Promos
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

Below $55,000.0013¢7.69xKalshiBelow $50,000.009¢11.11xKalshiBelow $45,000.007¢14.29xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Below $55,000.00 about a 12.0% chance. Below $50,000.00 follows at 9.0%, Below $45,000.00 follows at 6.5%, and ↓ 40,000 follows at 4.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.

Traders give Below $55,000.00 about a 12.0% chance. Below $50,000.00 follows at 9.0%, Below $45,000.00 follows at 6.5%, and ↓ 40,000 follows at 4.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on how low Bitcoin will drop in 2026. Market sentiment is influenced by regulatory developments, macroeconomic factors, and investor behavior in the cryptocurrency space.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
B$
Below $55,000.00
single venue12%
Kalshi13¢
—
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
12.0%12¢13¢87¢88¢
B$
Below $50,000.00
single venue9%
Kalshi9¢
—
Kalshi11.11x9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%8¢9¢91¢92¢
B$
Below $45,000.00
single venue7%
Kalshi7¢
—
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
↓4
↓ 40,000
5%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket4¢
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%5¢7¢93¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.7%4¢4¢96¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CF Benchmarks
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.3%
Platforms2
Candidates4
Leader

Below $55,000.00

12.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $55000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Resolution Oracles
CF Benchmarks
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Bitcoin Sub-$40K Crash Odds Drop 8 Points to 27% With No News CatalystTraders on Kalshi and Polymarket are quietly abandoning the worst-case 2026 Bitcoin floor scenario, with positioning shifting before any headline explains why.Jul 3, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence Bitcoin's price predictions for 2026?

Factors include regulatory changes, market demand, and technological advancements in blockchain. Economic conditions and investor sentiment also play crucial roles.

How do prediction markets determine Bitcoin's future price?

Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants on various outcomes, reflecting collective expectations. Prices fluctuate based on new information and market dynamics.

What is the significance of Bitcoin's price in 2026?

Bitcoin's price in 2026 could impact investor confidence and the broader cryptocurrency market. It may also influence regulatory discussions and adoption rates.

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Below $55,000.00: 12.0¢ on Kalshi; Below $50,000.00: 9.0¢ on Kalshi; Below $45,000.00: 6.5¢ on Kalshi; ↓ 40,000: 6.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Surf FDV above one day after launch

View

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

View

Tori Finance FDV above one day after launch

View

Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?

View

QUINTESSENCIA vs. Procyon Gaming

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds