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Live prediction market odds for Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion.

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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 20272¢50.00xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027 about a 6.2% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 9.3 percentage points.

Traders give Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027 about a 6.2% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 9.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Opinion are tracking whether Bitcoin will replace SHA-256 before 2027. This event is crucial as it could impact the future of cryptocurrency security and mining practices, influencing investor confidence and market dynamics.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
OpinionOpinion
Best price
WB
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027ARB
6%
Polymarket2¢
Opinion17¢
Polymarket45.45x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.6%1¢2¢98¢99¢
OpinionOpinion
10.9%5¢17¢83¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarketOpinionOpinion

Smart Trade Router

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¢

Resolution Oracles

OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread9.3%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027

6.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion.

OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI

Frequently Asked Questions

What does SHA-256 refer to in the context of Bitcoin?

SHA-256 is a cryptographic hash function used in Bitcoin's proof-of-work consensus mechanism. It ensures the security and integrity of transactions on the Bitcoin network.

Why would Bitcoin need to replace SHA-256?

Replacing SHA-256 could enhance security, efficiency, or scalability of the Bitcoin network. Innovations in cryptography or changes in mining technology may drive this need.

What factors could influence the odds of this event?

Factors include advancements in cryptographic technology, regulatory changes, and shifts in the cryptocurrency market. Community consensus and developer decisions also play a critical role.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027: 1.6¢ on Polymarket, 10.9¢ on Opinion. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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