About This Market
Traders give 6,300 Or Below about a 6.4% chance. 6,200 Or Below follows at 4.8%, 6,100 Or Below follows at 4.3%, and 6,000 Or Below follows at 4.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
How low will the S&P get this year?
How low will the S&P get this year?
Live prediction market odds for How low will the S&P get this year?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give 6,300 Or Below about a 6.4% chance. 6,200 Or Below follows at 4.8%, 6,100 Or Below follows at 4.3%, and 6,000 Or Below follows at 4.2%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
Economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and unemployment figures can impact the S&P 500. Additionally, corporate earnings reports and changes in interest rates play crucial roles in shaping market sentiment.
Market sentiment, driven by investor perceptions and news events, can lead to volatility in the S&P 500. Positive sentiment may push prices higher, while negative sentiment can lead to declines.
Predicting the lows of the S&P 500 helps investors gauge market trends and make informed decisions. Understanding potential downturns can aid in risk management and investment strategies.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are 6,300 Or Below: 6.4¢ on Kalshi; 6,200 Or Below: 4.8¢ on Kalshi; 6,100 Or Below: 4.3¢ on Kalshi; 6,000 Or Below: 4.2¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.