Live prediction market odds for Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 13 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give OpenAI about a 26.0% chance. Meta follows at 10.0%, xAI follows at 10.0%, and Baidu follows at 6.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOpenAI
26.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are OpenAI: 26.0¢ on Kalshi; Meta: 10.0¢ on Kalshi; xAI: 10.0¢ on Kalshi; Baidu: 6.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, OpenAI at 26.0¢ implies about a 26.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
