Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 39.0% chance. June 30, 2027 follows at 25.0% and December 31, 2026 follows at 6.1%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid performs a second airdrop by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: 2026-03-02T13:13:17.404747248Z
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Hyperliquid airdrop by prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Hyperliquid airdrop by odds?
The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 39.0¢ on Polymarket; June 30, 2027: 25.0¢ on Polymarket; December 31, 2026: 6.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.2¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Why do Hyperliquid airdrop by odds vary across prediction markets?
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.2 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
How do Hyperliquid airdrop by prediction market payouts work?
For example, December 31, 2027 at 39.0¢ implies about a 39.0% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.