Traders give Cincinnati about a 45.9% chance. Duke follows at 40.8%, Pittsburgh follows at 39.4%, and Syracuse follows at 38.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 38.9 percentage points.
Ian Sarachan is the head coach of Butler University's men's soccer team. He previously served as an assistant coach with the Colorado Rapids in Major League Soccer. Sarachan has a proven track record in collegiate soccer, having helped Creighton University reach the NCAA College Cup and leading the University of Illinois–Chicago to the NCAA Elite Eight as a player.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Men's Semifinals Qualifiers
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If LSU qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Semifinals, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves to Yes if the team qualifies for the 2027 Men's College Basketball Semifinals. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team qualifies for the Final Four (national semifinals) of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Final Four (e.g., it is eliminated or not selected for the tournament), this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, or the Final Four teams are not determined by April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What determines who qualifies for the Men's Semifinals?
Qualification is based on athletes' performance in earlier rounds of the tournament. Specific criteria may include match wins, point totals, or rankings.
How do odds change for this event?
Odds fluctuate based on athletes' performances in qualifying matches and their current standings. Market participants react to real-time developments, influencing the odds.
When does trading close for the Men's Semifinals Qualifiers?
Trading is scheduled to close on March 29, 2027. This deadline marks the end of betting before the semifinals take place.
What does the Men's Semifinals Qualifiers prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Men's Semifinals Qualifiers odds?
The latest available prices are Cincinnati: 45.9¢ on Polymarket; Duke: 42.0¢ on Kalshi, 39.5¢ on Polymarket; Pittsburgh: 39.4¢ on Polymarket; Syracuse: 38.8¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.