About This Market
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-25
This market resolved on 2026-08-25. Houston Astros was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-25. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 99% |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 98% | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 95% |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 93% |
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Ethan Pecko Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 91% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 86% | 95% |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 87% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 86% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 74% | 98% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 86% |
Will Warren Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 84% | — |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 82% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 82% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 68% | 91% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 79% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 77% |
Houston AstrosWINNER | 99% | 99% | 57% | 95% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 76% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 76% | — | — | — |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 63% | 89% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 75% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 74% |
Total over 13.5 | 99% | — | — | 73% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 73% |
Will Warren Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 71% | — |
Will Warren Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 71% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 70% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 69% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 43% | 90% |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Total Bases | 66% | — | — | — |
Jose Caballero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 84% | — | — | 46% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 62% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 77% | 47% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Christian Vazquez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Ethan Pecko Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 57% | 57% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Christian Vazquez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Ethan Pecko Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 57% | 47% |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 51% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 86% | 15% |
Will Warren Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 44% | 57% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Will Warren Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 44% | 56% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 50% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 9% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 23% | 61% |
Jose Caballero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 74% | 9% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases | 41% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 41% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Will Warren Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 38% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 57% | 18% |
Ethan Pecko Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 53% | — | 19% | — |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 32% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 99% | 32% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 31% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 31% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 30% | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 28% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 32% | 22% |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 100% | 26% |
Will Warren Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 26% | — | — | — |
New York Yankees | 1% | 1% | 43% | 7% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 28% | 15% |
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 20% | — |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits | 19% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 16% | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 99% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 15% | — | — | — |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 14% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 19% | 7% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs | 13% | — | 0% | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 16% | 6% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 10% |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 10% |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 9% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 99% | 9% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 9% |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 8% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 6% | — | 1% | 10% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 RBIs | 8% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 19% | 8% |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 8% |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 7% |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 6% | — | — | — |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 0% | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 6.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Ethan Pecko Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Will Warren Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 0% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Houston Astros
87.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 25 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-25 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Houston Astros: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 57.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.1¢ on ProphetX, 99.0¢ on Polymarket US; New York Yankees: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.8¢ on ProphetX, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 42.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Houston Astros at 87.5¢ implies about a 87.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.