About This Market
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-26
This market resolved on 2026-08-26. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Houston Astros vs.
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-26. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
New York YankeesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Cam Smith Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Isaac Paredes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | 99% |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 99% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jose Altuve Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 99% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 99% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Daulton Varsho Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 49% | 97% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Yainer Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 94% |
Peter Lambert Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 93% |
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 91% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 88% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% |
Trent Grisham Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 87% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 85% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 71% | 94% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 81% |
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 81% |
Isaac Paredes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 80% |
George Lombard Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 58% | 96% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 76% |
Peter Lambert Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 74% | — |
Christian Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 48% | 99% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 70% | 75% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 50% | 90% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 69% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 68% | — |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 68% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 53% | 83% |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Cam Smith Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 65% |
Peter Lambert Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 86% | 44% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 61% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 45% | 78% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Jose Altuve Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 60% |
Peter Lambert Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | 60% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 60% |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Yainer Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 56% | 62% |
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 37% | 81% |
Daulton Varsho Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jose Altuve Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Daulton Varsho Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Elmer Rodriguez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 100% | 58% |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 57% |
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Trent Grisham Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Trent Grisham Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Jose Caballero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Trent Grisham Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 23% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 55% | — | — | 50% |
Peter Lambert Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 99% | 52% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 44% | — | — | 58% |
Yainer Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Elmer Rodriguez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 50% |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 9% |
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Cam Smith Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Peter Lambert Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 46% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 45% |
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 45% |
Yordan Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 44% | 43% |
Houston Astros spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 63% | 23% |
Isaac Paredes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 48% | — | — | 36% |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 80% | — |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 40% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 47% | 21% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 32% |
Houston Astros spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 50% | 14% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 30% | 34% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 28% | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits | 27% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Total Bases | 27% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 27% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits | 26% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 26% | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs | 9% | — | 90% | 26% |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | 25% | — | 90% | 8% |
Houston Astros spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 24% |
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 24% | — |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 23% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Total Bases | 21% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 0% | 21% |
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 21% | 20% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Hits | 20% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 20% |
Houston Astros spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 29% | 11% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 19% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 17% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 4.5 Total Bases | 16% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Total Bases | 15% | — | — | — |
Total over 13.5 | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Houston Astros spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Houston Astros spread minus 1.5 | 3% | — | 42% | 14% |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Houston wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 11% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | — |
Daulton Varsho Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 51% | 11% |
Houston Astros spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — |
Jose Caballero Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Yainer Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
LaMonte Wade Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 9% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 4.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 5.5 Total Bases | 8% | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 7% |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 4% | — |
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 6% |
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | 6% |
Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 6% |
Christian Walker Over 4.5 Total Bases | 5% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | 51% | 6% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Cam Smith Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 5% |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Jose Altuve Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 51% | 5% |
Houston Astros | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Elmer Rodriguez Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | — |
Christian Walker Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Christian Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jeremy Pena Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Peter Lambert Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Peter Lambert Over 5.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
New York Yankees
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Houston wins the Houston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Houston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 26, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 26 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Houston Astros vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-26 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; Houston Astros: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, New York Yankees at 99.4¢ implies about a 99.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.