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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

New York Yankees Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-11

This market resolved on 2026-09-11. New York Yankees was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Anthony Volpe Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	93%
New York Yankees spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	93%
New York Yankees spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	85%	95%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5	—	—	85%	—	94%
New York Yankees spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	88%
New York YankeesWINNER	99%	62%	88%	100%	94%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.5	99%	—	—	100%	88%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	79%	95%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	—	80%
New York Yankees spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	0%	77%
Total over 7.5	100%	—	—	82%	66%
Total under 9.5	—	—	72%	36%	74%
New York Mets spread plus 3.5	—	—	58%	—	85%
Mark Vientos Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	65%
George Lombard Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Amed Rosario Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	64%
Mark Vientos Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	—	63%
New York Yankees spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	63%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Total under 9.0	—	—	—	—	62%
Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Total over 8.5	99%	—	54%	100%	70%
Nick Morabito Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	61%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	60%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Christopher Morel Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	56%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	56%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	52%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	50%
Nick Morabito Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	49%
Austin Wells Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	48%
Ryan McMahon Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	47%
New York Yankees spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	46%
Amed Rosario Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Mark Vientos Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Anthony Volpe Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
Mark Vientos Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	43%
George Lombard Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	42%
George Lombard Jr. Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	41%
Total over 9.0	—	—	—	—	41%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	52%	29%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	40%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	—	39%
Total under 8.5	—	—	46%	24%	35%
Total under 5.5	—	—	—	—	32%
New York Yankees spread minus 3.5	1%	—	43%	—	19%
Total over 11.5	1%	—	44%	—	14%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	28%	100%	29%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	38%	17%
Total under 7.5	—	—	—	14%	37%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	—	21%
Mark Vientos Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	18%
Ryan McMahon Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	15%
Austin Wells Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	14%
New York Yankees spread minus 4.5	—	—	16%	—	11%
New York Mets	1%	38%	12%	0%	8%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	11%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	9%
Anthony Volpe Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	8%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	0%	8%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5	1%	—	—	3%	9%
Aaron Judge Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Aaron Judge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Ben Rice Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Bo Bichette Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Over 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Over 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Over 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carlos Rodon Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Carson Benge Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Cody Bellinger Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Francisco Lindor Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Juan Soto Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Luis Garcia Jr. Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Marcus Semien Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
New York Mets spread minus 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Nolan McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Nolan McLean Over 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Nolan McLean Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Nolan McLean Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	—
Spencer Jones Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 10.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 12.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 3.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 4.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 5.5	—	—	—	—	—
Total over 6.5	—	—	—	—	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If New York Y wins the New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the New York M vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

New York Yankees in New York Mets @ New York Yankees (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 11 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the New York Mets vs New York Yankees MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-11 at 7:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Yankees: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 94.0¢ on ProphetX, 62.0¢ on Polymarket US, 88.0¢ on Novig; New York Mets: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 8.2¢ on ProphetX, 38.0¢ on Polymarket US, 12.0¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 37.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Yankees at 88.6¢ implies about a 88.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

New York Yankees Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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New York Yankees Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

New York Yankees Wins: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)

Frequently Asked Questions

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