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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Novig / Polymarket / ProphetX

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-09-17

This market resolved on 2026-09-17. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 73%.

Final Closing Odds

5 platforms

Candidate
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	100%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Junior Caminero Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Junior Caminero Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Yandy Diaz Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Zack Gelof Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	99%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	98%
Drew Rasmussen Over 3.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	95%	—
Zack Gelof Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	95%	—
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	—	94%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	90%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	88%	89%
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	93%
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	84%	89%
Athletics spread plus 4.5	—	—	—	—	86%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	85%
Total under 8.5	—	—	—	0%	82%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5	—	—	—	80%	83%
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Jeffrey Springs Under 6.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	81%	—
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Jonathan Aranda Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	—
Jonny DeLuca Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	81%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Zack Gelof Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	80%
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	80%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	79%
Athletics spread plus 3.5	—	—	—	1%	77%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	73%	77%
Total under 10.5	—	—	—	1%	75%
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	67%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	66%
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	63%
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER	100%	71%	72%	100%	73%
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	61%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	69%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	56%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	81%	56%
Jeffrey Springs Over 2.5 Strikeouts	99%	—	—	66%	—
Total over 4.5	100%	—	—	1%	65%
Alika Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	47%
Nick Fortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	63%
Shea Langeliers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	63%
Drew Rasmussen Under 5.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	81%	46%
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	81%	45%
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	62%
Jorge Mateo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	62%
Total under 6.5	—	—	—	0%	62%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5	100%	—	54%	96%	62%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5	100%	—	—	91%	32%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—	60%
Yandy Diaz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	60%
Nick Madrigal Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	59%
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	59%
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	95%	—
Total under 9.5	—	—	49%	0%	68%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	58%
Jeffrey Springs Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	56%	60%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	—	57%
Total over 7.0	—	—	—	—	57%
Drew Rasmussen Over 5.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	56%	59%
Total over 10.5	100%	—	—	99%	54%
Total under 8.0	—	—	—	—	53%
Victor Mesa Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	53%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	52%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	51%	—	—	1%	53%
Total over 7.5	99%	—	52%	74%	31%
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	51%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	51%	—
Ryan Vilade Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	7%	—	—	95%	—
Total over 5.5	100%	—	52%	100%	50%
Total under 5.5	—	—	49%	0%	53%
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	50%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	50%
Drew Rasmussen Under 3.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	50%	—
Drew Rasmussen Under 4.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	50%	—
Drew Rasmussen Under 7.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	50%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	50%	—
Jeffrey Springs Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	49%	—
Total under 7.5	—	—	49%	26%	74%
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	1%	48%
Total over 9.5	99%	—	51%	100%	44%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	47%	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 6.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	50%	43%
Jorge Mateo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Nick Madrigal Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	46%
Total over 8.0	—	—	—	—	46%
Nick Fortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	—	45%
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	44%	—	—	19%	47%
Jeffrey Springs Over 3.5 Strikeouts	100%	—	—	44%	43%
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	40%	—	—	—	46%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	1%	43%
Total under 7.0	—	—	—	—	43%
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	41%	—	—	1%	44%
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	36%	—	—	—	48%
Athletics spread plus 1.5	—	—	47%	4%	40%
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	99%	40%
Total over 6.5	100%	—	—	100%	40%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	60%
Total under 4.5	—	—	—	1%	38%
Athletics spread plus 2.5	—	—	—	9%	66%
Athletics spread plus 1.0	—	—	—	—	36%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	50%
Jeffrey Springs Under 2.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	34%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	33%	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	47%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	46%
Athletics	1%	29%	29%	0%	30%
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Home Runs	5%	—	—	49%	—
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	6%	47%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5	100%	—	—	99%	26%
Jeff McNeil Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	26%	—	—	1%	—
Zack Gelof Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	24%	—	—	1%	—
Athletics spread minus 1.0	—	—	—	—	22%
Yandy Diaz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	22%	—	—	—	—
Total over 8.5	100%	—	—	100%	22%
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	21%	—	—	19%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	20%
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Drew Rasmussen Over 7.5 Strikeouts	1%	—	—	19%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Ryan Vilade Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	19%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	19%	—
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	19%	—
Athletics spread minus 1.5	1%	—	—	20%	18%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	18%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	27%	9%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5	98%	—	—	—	18%
Ryan Vilade Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	19%	—
Yandy Diaz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	19%	—
Zack Gelof Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	13%	—	—	19%	—
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	19%	11%
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	15%	15%
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	95%	14%
Jeff McNeil Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	1%	—
Jonny DeLuca Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	14%	—	—	1%	—
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs	100%	—	—	100%	12%
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs	4%	—	—	12%	12%
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	10%	10%
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	10%
Athletics spread minus 2.5	1%	—	—	4%	13%
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	—	8%
Alika Williams Over 0.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	95%	8%
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	1%	8%
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs	3%	—	—	1%	10%
Athletics spread minus 4.5	—	—	—	—	6%
Lawrence Butler Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	6%	—	—	1%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	5%	—	—	1%	—
Jeff McNeil Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	5%	—
Lawrence Butler Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	5%	—
Shea Langeliers Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	5%	—
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Home Runs	2%	—	—	1%	—
Chandler Simpson Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	1%	—	—	1%	—
Jeffrey Springs Under 1.5 Strikeouts	—	—	—	1%	—
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Shea Langeliers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	—	—	—	1%	—
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs	—	—	—	0%	—
A's wins by over 3.5 runs	—	—	—	—	—
Lawrence Butler Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	1%	—
Over 1.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 2.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Over 3.5 runs scored	—	—	—	—	—
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs	99%	—	—	1%	—
Total over 11.5	—	—	—	—	—
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs	1%	—	—	100%	—

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If A's wins the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the A's vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 at 1:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Novig

Primary Rule

Athletics in Oakland Athletics @ Tampa Bay Rays (MLB); settled by Novig.

Edge Cases

If the contract cannot be settled on the stated outcome, Novig settles it at fair market value (FMV) instead of refunding it.

Polymarket

Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 17 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles

UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Polymarket US

Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Athletics vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-17 at 1:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetX

Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles

ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Novig, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.5¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 72.6¢ on ProphetX, 71.0¢ on Polymarket US, 71.5¢ on Novig; Athletics: 0.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 29.8¢ on ProphetX, 29.0¢ on Polymarket US, 28.5¢ on Novig. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 29.7 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 82.9¢ implies about a 82.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Frequently Asked Questions

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

About This Market

Price History

Final Closing Odds

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays (1:10 PM ET)

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