About This Market
St.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-22
This market resolved on 2026-08-22. Philadelphia Phillies was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
St.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (6:05 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-22. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 99% | — |
Philadelphia PhilliesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 99% | 99% |
Andrew Painter Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Andrew Painter Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Nathan Church Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Over 13.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Blaze Jordan Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Bryce Harper Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Bryson Stott Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Joshua Baez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Bryan Torres Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 98% |
Alec Bohm Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 98% |
Ivan Herrera Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 90% | 97% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 93% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 90% |
Masyn Winn Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 88% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 88% |
Jordan Walker Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 93% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 95% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 85% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 98% | 69% |
Alec Burleson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 80% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | — |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 80% | 80% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 79% |
JJ Wetherholt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 78% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 99% | 77% |
Andrew Painter Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 76% | — |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 71% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 69% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 68% |
Bryan Torres Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Jordan Walker Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Quinn Mathews Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 47% | 87% |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Blaze Jordan Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Joshua Baez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Nathan Church Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Masyn Winn Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Alec Burleson Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Ivan Herrera Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Quinn Mathews Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 53% | 71% |
Bryce Harper Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 59% |
Alec Bohm Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Bryson Stott Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Derek Hill Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Luis Arraez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 57% |
Edmundo Sosa Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 54% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 54% |
Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Brandon Marsh Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Derek Hill Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | — | 52% |
Joshua Baez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Nathan Church Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Philadelphia Phillies spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Andrew Painter Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 40% | 62% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 1% | 50% |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 50% |
Blaze Jordan Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Edmundo Sosa Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Bryson Stott Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 47% |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
J.T. Realmuto Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Alec Burleson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 6% |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Alec Burleson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Alec Burleson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Bryan Torres Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 42% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 40% |
Andrew Painter Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 0% | 40% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 0% | 35% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 35% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 32% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 1% | 32% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 31% |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 RBIs | 31% | — | — | — |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 29% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 28% |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Total Bases | 25% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 20% | 23% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 2% | 40% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 20% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Jordan Walker Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Masyn Winn Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | — |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 0% | 19% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 21% | 15% |
Jordan Walker Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 15% |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 16% |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Total Bases | 15% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Total Bases | 14% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Masyn Winn Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 7% |
Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 11% |
Trea Turner Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 11% |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 10% |
Edmundo Sosa Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Bryce Harper Over 4.5 Total Bases | 10% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 10% | 12% |
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 8% |
Derek Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Alec Bohm Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 5% | 9% |
Bryan Torres Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
JJ Wetherholt Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 7% |
Blaze Jordan Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Nathan Church Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | — | 7% |
Bryce Harper Over 2.5 Hits | 5% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 4% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 2.5 Hits | 4% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
St. Louis Cardinals | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Ivan Herrera Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Trea Turner Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Trea Turner Over 2.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Quinn Mathews Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Andrew Painter Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Andrew Painter Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | — |
Alec Burleson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Alec Bohm Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Kyle Schwarber Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Trea Turner Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Andrew Painter Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 0% | — |
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
JJ Wetherholt Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 99% |
Luis Arraez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Luis Arraez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Trea Turner Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 99% |
Philadelphia Phillies
99.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the St. Louis vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the St. Louis vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 22 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-22 at 6:05PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Philadelphia Phillies: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 99.5¢ on Polymarket US; St. Louis Cardinals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.0¢ on ProphetX, 0.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 2.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Philadelphia Phillies at 99.1¢ implies about a 99.1% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.