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Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:15 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-21
This market resolved on 2026-08-21. Baltimore Orioles was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 97%.
Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (7:15 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-21. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor Rogers Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 99% |
Freddy Peralta Over 15.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | 99% |
Jorge Mateo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases | 99% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Trevor Rogers Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Freddy Peralta Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 98% | — | 0% | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 98% | — | 0% | — |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 95% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | 95% |
Baltimore OriolesWINNER | 99% | 94% | 99% | 94% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 93% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 98% |
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Total over 4.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 87% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 87% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | 82% | 82% |
Total over 8.0 | — | — | — | 81% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 81% | 99% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 80% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Total over 5.5 | 99% | — | — | 77% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 59% | 94% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 62% | 90% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 74% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 56% | 90% |
Jorge Mateo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 72% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 56% | 87% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 71% |
Freddy Peralta Under 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 1% | 71% |
Trevor Rogers Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 71% | 71% |
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Yohel Pozo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 67% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Yohel Pozo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 66% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits | 63% | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 62% | — | — | — |
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 61% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 36% | 83% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 57% |
Carlos Narvaez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 55% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 25% | 78% |
Carlos Narvaez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 14% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 47% | — | — | 48% |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits | 47% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 46% |
Trevor Rogers Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 46% | — | — | — |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 64% | 25% |
Yohel Pozo Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 41% |
Yohel Pozo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 41% |
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Jorge Mateo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 40% |
Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 100% | 40% |
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 39% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 38% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases | 37% | — | — | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 36% |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 34% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs | 33% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 32% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 44% | 20% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 32% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 44% | 18% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 30% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs | 29% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits | 28% | — | — | — |
Total under 8.0 | — | — | — | 27% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 38% | 15% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 42% | 11% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 46% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits | 23% | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | 1% | — | — | 21% |
Total under 4.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 18% | 22% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 0% | — | 20% | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 19% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 9% | 26% |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 100% | 16% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 10% |
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 20% | 8% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 14% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 12% | — | 20% | 13% |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 13% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 19% | 7% |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 13% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Tampa Bay Rays | 1% | 6% | 24% | 7% |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs | 7% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 6% |
Jorge Mateo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 19% | 6% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 8% | — | 4% | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | 5% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | 5% |
Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 3% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | 99% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Trevor Rogers Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles
96.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 21 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-21 at 7:15PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Baltimore Orioles: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 94.4¢ on ProphetX, 94.0¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay Rays: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 24.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on ProphetX, 6.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 23.0 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Baltimore Orioles at 96.6¢ implies about a 96.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.