Live prediction market odds for Netanyahu out by...?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Traders give December 31 about a 39.5% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.
Traders give December 31 about a 39.5% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
December 31
39.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T12:59:39.535400541Z
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are December 31: 40.0¢ on Polymarket, 39.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.9 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, December 31 at 39.5¢ implies about a 39.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
