New pandemic by 2026?
Live prediction market odds for New pandemic by 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give Ebola pandemic in 2026? about a 1.4% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
A new pandemic is defined as a global outbreak of a disease that meets the World Health Organization's criteria for a pandemic declaration. This includes widespread human transmission across multiple countries.
The market resolves on January 1, 2027, based on whether the World Health Organization has declared a new pandemic by that date. If no declaration occurs, the market will resolve to 'no'.
Odds are influenced by emerging disease outbreaks, public health responses, and scientific research related to infectious diseases. News reports and expert assessments on potential threats also play a significant role in shaping market sentiment.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Ebola pandemic in 2026?: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 1.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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Trader up $108K lifetime bought $1.3K of No at 99¢
2d ago
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $114K lifetime bought $1.8K of No at 98¢
4d agoEbola pandemic in 2026?Trade on Kalshi 