Traders give Kirill Marchenko about a 88.1% chance. Nazem Kadri follows at 85.7%, Tim Stutzle follows at 84.9%, and Bo Horvat follows at 68.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.4 percentage points.
Connor Bedard is a center for the Chicago Blackhawks. He was selected first overall in the 2023 NHL Draft and won the Calder Trophy in 2024. Bedard has led the Blackhawks in points each of his first three NHL seasons.
About Mikko Rantanen
Mikko Rantanen is a Finnish professional ice hockey forward for the Dallas Stars in the NHL. He was acquired by the Stars from the Carolina Hurricanes in March 2025 and signed an eight-year contract extension. Rantanen has been named to the NHL All-Star Game on two occasions and won the Stanley Cup with the Colorado Avalanche in 2022.
About Jack Hughes
Jack Hughes is a center and alternate captain for the New Jersey Devils in the NHL. He was drafted first overall by the Devils in the 2019 NHL Entry Draft. Hughes has represented the United States men's national team internationally, scoring the game-winning goal in overtime of the gold medal match against Canada at the 2026 Winter Olympics.
About Kyle Connor
Kyle Connor is a left winger for the Winnipeg Jets in the NHL. He was drafted 17th overall by the Jets in the 2015 NHL Entry Draft. Connor has consistently been among the league's top goal scorers, recording multiple seasons with over 40 goals and 90 points.
About Matthew Boldy
Matt Boldy is a left winger for the Minnesota Wild in the NHL. He was drafted 12th overall by the Wild in the 2019 NHL Entry Draft. Boldy has been a consistent offensive contributor for the Wild since his NHL debut in 2022.
About Alex Ovechkin
Alex Ovechkin is the captain of the Washington Capitals, leading the team into his 22nd NHL season. He has scored 929 goals in 1,573 career games, holding the NHL record for most goals. Ovechkin's prolific scoring and leadership make him a perennial contender for the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy.
About Filip Forsberg
Filip Forsberg is a Swedish professional ice hockey player and alternate captain for the Nashville Predators in the NHL. He signed an eight-year, $68 million contract with the Predators in July 2022. Forsberg is the franchise's all-time leading goal scorer, with 363 goals and 776 points in 879 games.
About Sam Reinhart
Sam Reinhart is a Canadian professional ice hockey forward for the Florida Panthers. He was drafted second overall by the Buffalo Sabres in the 2014 NHL Entry Draft. Reinhart has been a consistent scorer, recording over 30 goals in multiple seasons and contributing significantly to the Panthers' offense.
About Leon Draisaitl
Leon Draisaitl is a professional ice hockey center for the Edmonton Oilers in the NHL. He won the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy in the 2024-25 season as the league's top goal scorer. Draisaitl has been instrumental in the Oilers' offensive success, consistently ranking among the league's leading scorers.
About Dylan Guenther
Dylan Guenther is a 23-year-old right winger for the Utah Mammoth in the NHL. He was drafted 9th overall by the Arizona Coyotes in the 2021 NHL Entry Draft. Guenther has accumulated 97 goals and 98 assists for 195 points in 245 career NHL games.
About Kirill Kaprizov
Kirill Kaprizov is a Russian professional ice hockey player and left winger for the Minnesota Wild in the NHL. He won the Calder Memorial Trophy as NHL rookie of the year in 2021, becoming the first Wild player to win the award. Kaprizov is the Wild's all-time leader in goals per game average and overtime goals.
About Matthew Tkachuk
Matthew Tkachuk is an American professional ice hockey winger and alternate captain for the Florida Panthers. He was drafted 6th overall by the Calgary Flames in the 2016 NHL Entry Draft and played six seasons with them before joining the Panthers in 2022. Tkachuk has been instrumental in the Panthers' success, contributing significantly to their back-to-back Stanley Cup championships in 2024 and 2025.
About Nathan MacKinnon
Nathan MacKinnon is the captain and center for the Colorado Avalanche. He won the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy in the 2025–26 season, leading the NHL with 53 goals. MacKinnon has been a finalist for the Hart Memorial Trophy five times and won the Ted Lindsay Award in 2024.
About Pavel Dorofeyev
Pavel Dorofeyev is a professional ice hockey forward for the New York Rangers in the NHL. He previously played for the Vegas Golden Knights, recording 92 goals and 57 assists in 231 regular-season games. Dorofeyev's consistent scoring and offensive contributions have established him as a key player in the league.
About Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews is the captain and center for the Toronto Maple Leafs. He was drafted first overall by the Maple Leafs in 2016 and has been with the team since. Matthews is recognized for his exceptional goal-scoring ability and leadership on the ice.
About Connor McDavid
Connor McDavid is the captain and center for the Edmonton Oilers. He led the NHL with 153 points in the 2022–23 season, winning both the Art Ross and Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophies. McDavid is recognized as one of the league's premier players, consistently achieving high point totals and earning multiple MVP awards.
About Macklin Celebrini
Macklin Celebrini is a Canadian professional ice hockey center and captain for the San Jose Sharks in the NHL. He was selected first overall by the Sharks in the 2024 NHL Draft and won the Hobey Baker Award as a freshman at Boston University in 2024. Celebrini's exceptional performance, including leading the Sharks with 115 points in the 2025-26 season, establishes him as a leading candidate for the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy.
About Jason Robertson
Jason Robertson is a left winger for the Dallas Stars in the NHL. He led the Stars with 96 points in the 2025-26 season, including 45 goals and 51 assists. Robertson's consistent offensive performance has established him as a key player for Dallas.
About Cole Caufield
Cole Caufield is a professional ice hockey right winger for the Montreal Canadiens in the NHL. He was selected 15th overall by the Canadiens in the 2019 NHL Draft. Caufield is recognized for his exceptional goal-scoring ability, having led the Canadiens in goals for multiple seasons.
About David Pastrnak
David Pastrnak is the captain of the Boston Bruins. He won the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy in 2020. He is a consistent top scorer and leader for the Bruins.
About Wyatt Johnston
Wyatt Johnston is a Canadian professional ice hockey centre for the Dallas Stars in the NHL. He was drafted 23rd overall by the Stars in the 2021 NHL Entry Draft. Johnston led the league with 27 power-play goals in the 2025–26 season, showcasing his exceptional scoring ability.
About Nikita Kucherov
Nikita Kucherov is a right winger and alternate captain for the Tampa Bay Lightning. He won the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy as the NHL's goal-scoring leader in the 2023–24 season. Kucherov has led the league in scoring three times, earning the Art Ross Trophy in 2019, 2024, and 2025.
About Tage Thompson
Tage Thompson is a center and alternate captain for the Buffalo Sabres in the NHL. He scored 47 goals and 47 assists in the 2022-23 season, leading the team with 94 points. Thompson's consistent high-level performance and leadership make him a strong contender for the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy.
About Zach Hyman
Zach Hyman is a left winger for the Edmonton Oilers in the NHL. He previously played for the Toronto Maple Leafs from 2015 to 2021. Hyman has consistently been among the league's top goal scorers, finishing the 2023–24 regular season with 54 goals and leading the NHL in postseason goals during the 2023–24 playoffs.
About Brady Tkachuk
Brady Tkachuk is a left winger for the Florida Panthers. He was drafted 4th overall by the Ottawa Senators in 2018 and served as their captain from 2021 to 2026. Tkachuk has consistently been among the league's top forwards, recording multiple seasons with over 30 goals and earning four All-Star selections.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Adrian Kempe wins the NHL Maurice "Rocket" Richard Award in the 2026-27 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
If multiple participants tie for the award, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay $1 minus the “Yes” payout.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Frequently Asked Questions
What criteria determine the winner of the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?
The trophy is awarded to the player with the highest number of goals scored in the NHL regular season. In the event of a tie, the trophy is shared by the players involved.
How does player performance affect the odds for this trophy?
Odds fluctuate based on players' scoring rates, injuries, and overall team performance. Significant milestones or records can also impact market perceptions.
When do markets close for the Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?
Markets are scheduled to close on April 20, 2027, which is before the end of the NHL regular season. This allows traders to speculate on the outcome until the final games are played.
What does the NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy Winner odds?
The latest available prices are Kirill Marchenko: 88.1¢ on Polymarket; Nazem Kadri: 85.7¢ on Polymarket; Tim Stutzle: 84.9¢ on Polymarket; Bo Horvat: 68.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Kalshi
Polymarket
