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Live prediction market odds for How high will Ethereum get in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

↑ 3,00069¢1.45xPolymarketAbove $3,500.0031¢3.23xKalshiAbove $3,750.0024¢4.17xKalshi
Compare all 13 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give ↑ 3,000 about a 69.0% chance. Above $3,500.00 follows at 31.0%, Above $3,750.00 follows at 23.5%, and ↑ 4,000 follows at 16.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Traders give ↑ 3,000 about a 69.0% chance. Above $3,500.00 follows at 31.0%, Above $3,750.00 follows at 23.5%, and ↑ 4,000 follows at 16.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on how high Ethereum will reach by 2026. This event is significant as it reflects investor sentiment and market trends in the cryptocurrency space, influenced by technological advancements and regulatory developments.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
↑3
↑ 3,000
single venue69%
—
Polymarket69¢
Polymarket1.45x69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
69.0%65¢69¢31¢35¢
A$
Above $3,500.00
single venue31%
Kalshi31¢
—
Kalshi3.23x31¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
31.0%30¢31¢69¢70¢
A$
Above $3,750.00
single venue24%
Kalshi24¢
—
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
23.5%23¢24¢76¢77¢
↑4
↑ 4,000ARB
17%
Kalshi19¢
Polymarket16¢
Kalshi5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%18¢19¢81¢82¢
PolymarketPolymarket
14.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
A$
Above $4,250.00
single venue15%
Kalshi16¢
—
Kalshi6.25x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
15.0%15¢16¢84¢85¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CF Benchmarks
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.0%
Platforms2
Candidates13
Leader

↑ 3,000

69.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: How high will Ethereum get in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.

Resolution Oracles
CF Benchmarks
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence Ethereum's price predictions for 2026?

Factors include market demand, technological upgrades, regulatory changes, and overall trends in the cryptocurrency market. Investor sentiment and macroeconomic conditions also play a crucial role.

How do prediction markets determine Ethereum's potential price range?

Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of Ethereum's future price. The collective actions of these traders help establish the odds for various price thresholds.

Why is the 2026 price prediction for Ethereum relevant?

The prediction is relevant as it provides insights into long-term investor confidence in Ethereum's growth and adoption. Additionally, it can indicate broader trends in the cryptocurrency ecosystem and its potential impact on the financial landscape.

How high will Ethereum get in 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

How high will Ethereum get in 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are ↑ 3,000: 69.0¢ on Polymarket; Above $3,500.00: 31.0¢ on Kalshi; Above $3,750.00: 23.5¢ on Kalshi; ↑ 4,000: 19.0¢ on Kalshi, 14.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying ↑ 3,000

Smart Money Consensus$893
$678Yes$215No
Smart Traders Split2
1Yes1No
PolymarketBuy Yes at 69¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

↑ 3,000
Yes$678 · 1 whale
No$215 · 1 whale
↑ 4,000
Yes$150 · 1 whale
No-$414 · 0 whales
↑ 5,000
No-$465 · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $10.3K lifetime bet $573 on Yes at 62¢

3h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $52.1K lifetime sold $2.1K of No at 95¢

8h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $49.2K lifetime sold $674 of No at 98¢

14h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $480K lifetime sold $615 of No at 94¢

22h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $479K lifetime bet $693 on No at 94¢

1d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Ethereum $4,000 Odds Jump 8 Points After Ceiling AnalysisETH trades at $2,722, needing a 47% rally to hit $4,000. A CryptoCompass stress-test of Standard Chartered's forecast triggered the repricing.Sep 21, 2026Ethereum Sub-$2,500 Odds Hit 42% as ETH Stalls Near $1,625Bearish bets on ETH staying below $2,500 jumped 18 points in three days. Exchange reserves sit at a record low of 14.5 million ETH despite the selloff.Aug 22, 2026Ethereum Below $2,500 Odds Hit 42% as ETH Stalls Near $1,625The bearish ETH outcome jumped 18pp in three days. ETH needs a 54% rally in roughly four months to escape the bracket.Aug 20, 2026ETH 'Above $425K' by Year-End Hits 30% on Prediction MarketsKalshi prices the outcome at 9% while Polymarket sits at 50%, a 41-point spread that signals fragmented conviction rather than consensus. The probability jumped 12 points in three days.Jul 22, 2026