How high will Ethereum get in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for How high will Ethereum get in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
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Compare all 12 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give ↓ 1,250 about a 10.0% chance. Above $3,500.00 follows at 5.5%, ↑ 3,000 follows at 5.0%, and Above $3,750.00 follows at 2.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the spot price of Ethereum in U.S. dollars is above 4000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Ethereum price is measured using the CF Ethereum Real-Time Index (ETHUSD_RTI) with a trimmed mean calculation that excludes the top 20% and bottom 20% of minute-by-minute values between market issuance and the target time. The market resolves based on whether the trimmed mean price reaches the specified level by the deadline. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No. Price data from CF Benchmarks is considered authoritative and revisions after expiration do not affect market resolution.
PolymarketThis market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Factors include market demand, technological upgrades, regulatory changes, and overall trends in the cryptocurrency market. Investor sentiment and macroeconomic conditions also play a crucial role.
Prediction markets aggregate the opinions of participants who buy and sell shares based on their expectations of Ethereum's future price. The collective actions of these traders help establish the odds for various price thresholds.
The prediction is relevant as it provides insights into long-term investor confidence in Ethereum's growth and adoption. Additionally, it can indicate broader trends in the cryptocurrency ecosystem and its potential impact on the financial landscape.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are ↓ 1,250: 10.0¢ on Polymarket; Above $3,500.00: 5.5¢ on Kalshi; ↑ 3,000: 5.0¢ on Polymarket; Above $3,750.00: 2.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Smart money is betting against ↑ 3,000
Buy No at 95¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Smart money is betting against ↑ 3,000
Buy No at 95¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.
Trader up $33.3K lifetime bought $5K of No at 96¢
1h agoWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $61.5K lifetime bought $1K of No at 91¢
6h agoWill Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $978K lifetime bought $1.3K of No at 93¢
12h agoWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $978K lifetime bought $1K of No at 98¢
22h agoWill Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi Trader up $2.7M lifetime sold $3.4K of No at 99¢
2d agoWill Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi 
