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Live prediction market odds for Noble FDV above one day after launch. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Noble FDV above one day after launch

2028-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$50M16¢6.25xPredict.fun$300M12¢8.33xPredict.fun$200M14¢7.14xPredict.fun
Compare all 7 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $50M about a 14.2% chance. $300M follows at 12.7%, $200M follows at 11.8%, and $500M follows at 10.9%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.3 percentage points.

Traders give $50M about a 14.2% chance. $300M follows at 12.7%, $200M follows at 11.8%, and $500M follows at 10.9%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking whether Noble's fully diluted valuation (FDV) will exceed one day after its launch. This market resolves based on the FDV metric calculated at the end of the first day of trading on January 1, 2028.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$50M
14%
Polymarket16¢
Predict.fun16¢
Predict.fun6.45x16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%14¢16¢84¢86¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
13.4%11¢16¢85¢89¢
$
$300M
13%
Polymarket14¢
Predict.fun12¢
Predict.fun8.26x12¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
13.5%13¢14¢86¢87¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
11.9%12¢12¢88¢88¢
$
$200M
12%
Polymarket17¢
Predict.fun14¢
Predict.fun7.35x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
15.0%13¢17¢83¢87¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
8.7%9¢14¢86¢91¢
$
$500MARB
11%
Polymarket10¢
Predict.fun12¢
Polymarket10.31x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
9.7%10¢10¢90¢90¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
12.1%12¢12¢88¢88¢
$
$100M
10%
Polymarket15¢
Predict.fun14¢
Predict.fun7.25x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
11.0%10¢15¢85¢90¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
9.9%10¢14¢86¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.3%
Platforms2
Candidates7
Leader

$50M

14.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Noble FDV above one day after launch

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Noble's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-26T15:50:44.459743541Z

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Noble's FDV?

Noble's fully diluted valuation (FDV) represents the total market value of all tokens if all are issued. It is a key metric for evaluating the project's potential market capitalization.

When does the market resolve?

The market resolves on January 1, 2028, at the end of the first day of trading. The resolution depends on whether Noble's FDV exceeds a specific threshold.

How is the FDV calculated?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total supply of tokens by the current market price per token. This gives a comprehensive view of the project's valuation in the market.

What does the Noble FDV above one day after launch prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Noble FDV above one day after launch odds?

The latest available prices are $50M: 15.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.4¢ on Predict.fun; $300M: 13.5¢ on Polymarket, 11.9¢ on Predict.fun; $200M: 15.0¢ on Polymarket, 8.7¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 9.7¢ on Polymarket, 12.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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