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Live prediction market odds for When will Bitcoin hit $150k?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion.

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When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Updated Sep 28, 3:34 PM EDT

Best price · tap to trade

by December 31, 20263¢33.33xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give by December 31, 2026 about a 9.3% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.1 percentage points.

Traders give by December 31, 2026 about a 9.3% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 13.1 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on when Bitcoin will reach $150,000. Market dynamics are influenced by factors such as regulatory developments, market sentiment, and macroeconomic trends affecting cryptocurrency valuations.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
OpinionOpinion
Best price
BD
by December 31, 2026
9%
Polymarket3¢
Opinion29¢
Polymarket32.26x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
2.7%2¢3¢97¢98¢
OpinionOpinion
15.8%3¢29¢71¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarketOpinionOpinion

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

OpinionOpinion
Opinion AIbinance.com
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread13.1%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

by December 31, 2026

9.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Polymarket.

OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AIbinance.com
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors could influence Bitcoin's price reaching $150k?

Key factors include regulatory changes, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic conditions. Market sentiment and technological advancements in blockchain can also play significant roles.

How do prediction markets determine the odds for Bitcoin hitting $150k?

Odds are based on collective market sentiment and the likelihood of various outcomes as assessed by traders. These markets react to news, trends, and shifts in investor behavior.

Why is the $150k milestone significant for Bitcoin?

Reaching $150k would represent a substantial psychological and financial milestone for Bitcoin, potentially attracting more institutional investment. It could also signal a broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies in mainstream finance.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are by December 31, 2026: 2.7¢ on Polymarket, 15.8¢ on Opinion. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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