When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Live prediction market odds for When will Bitcoin hit $150k?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion.
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Traders give by December 31, 2026 about a 14.3% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 26.7 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the price of Bitcoin is above 149999.99 by Jan 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Contract is settled by taking an average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) in any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. Data is used 24/7 to resolve the contract.
OpinionThis market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
PolymarketThis market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Key factors include regulatory changes, institutional adoption, and macroeconomic conditions. Market sentiment and technological advancements in blockchain can also play significant roles.
Odds are based on collective market sentiment and the likelihood of various outcomes as assessed by traders. These markets react to news, trends, and shifts in investor behavior.
Reaching $150k would represent a substantial psychological and financial milestone for Bitcoin, potentially attracting more institutional investment. It could also signal a broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies in mainstream finance.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are by December 31, 2026: 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 27.7¢ on Opinion. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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Trader up $24K lifetime sold $6.8K of No at 99¢
20h agoWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi 