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Live prediction market odds for OH-10 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

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OH-10 House winner?

Listed Sep 18, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 4, 2027

2026 Midterms hubNew

Every 2026 House seat beside the Senate and governor races, priced across every venue.
Open the hub

Best price · tap to trade

Mike Turner (R)73¢1.37xKalshiKristina Knickerbocker (D)27¢3.70xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Mike Turner (R) about a 73.0% chance. Kristina Knickerbocker (D) follows at 26.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Traders give Mike Turner (R) about a 73.0% chance. Kristina Knickerbocker (D) follows at 26.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-10 House election. The outcome will be determined on November 3, 2026, based on the official election results from that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MT
Mike Turner (R)
73%
Kalshi73¢
Polymarket75¢
Kalshi1.37x73¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
72.5%72¢73¢27¢28¢
PolymarketPolymarket
73.5%72¢75¢25¢28¢
KK
Kristina Knickerbocker (D)
27%
Kalshi27¢
Polymarket28¢
Kalshi3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
26.5%26¢27¢73¢74¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.0%26¢28¢72¢74¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Mike Turner (R)

Mike Turner is the U.S. Representative for Ohio's 10th congressional district. He served as Chair of the House Intelligence Committee from January 2023 to January 2025. Turner has represented Ohio's 10th district in Congress since 2013.

About Kristina Knickerbocker (D)

Kristina Knickerbocker is a Democratic candidate for Ohio's 10th Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House elections. She is a U.S. Air Force veteran and oncology nurse practitioner. Knickerbocker has raised $362,665 for her campaign as of June 30, 2026.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.0%
Platforms2
Candidates2
Volume$221K
Leader

Mike Turner (R)

73.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: OH-10 House winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for OH-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the OH-10 House election?

The OH-10 House election is part of the broader 2026 midterm elections, which will determine the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives. This election could impact party control depending on the results.

When will the OH-10 House election results be finalized?

Results for the OH-10 House election will be finalized on November 3, 2026. Official certification of the results may take additional time depending on state procedures.

How do prediction markets work for the OH-10 House election?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the election outcome. Prices fluctuate based on real-time information and sentiment regarding candidates and campaign developments.

What does the OH-10 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest OH-10 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Mike Turner (R): 72.5¢ on Kalshi, 73.5¢ on Polymarket; Kristina Knickerbocker (D): 26.5¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying Mike Turner (R)

Smart Money Consensus$356
$356Mike Turner (R)
Smart Traders Split2
2Mike Turner (R)
KalshiBuy Yes at 73¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Mike Turner (R)Leans Yes $356

Bought $356 of Yes

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.