Live prediction market odds for Iowa Senate Election Winner. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Iowa Senate Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Iowa Senate Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and shape legislative priorities for the following term.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Josh Turek (D) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Person A | No result |
Person B | No result |
Person C | No result |
Person D | No result |
Person E | No result |
Person F | No result |
Person G | No result |
Person H | No result |
Person I | No result |
Person J | No result |
Ashley Hinson (R) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Polymarket USIf the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 election for US Senator from Iowa, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified from relevant government authorities.
Predict.funThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and voter sentiment play significant roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can impact voter turnout and preferences.
The Iowa Senate Election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election date for federal offices.
Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their expectations of outcomes based on available information. As new data emerges, such as polls and campaign events, the odds can fluctuate accordingly.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Prediction Market Track Record
