Live prediction market odds for Oscar winner: Best Actress. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Julianne Moore about a 84.3% chance. Inde Navarrette follows at 10.2%, Anne Hathaway follows at 1.4%, and Renate Reinsve follows at 1.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.7 percentage points.
KalshiPolymarket USPolymarketPredict.funBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Julianne Moore has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if Julianne Moore wins Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards. Outcome sourced from Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.
Predict.funThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds are influenced by performances in major films, critical acclaim, and awards leading up to the Oscars, such as the Golden Globes. Public sentiment and media coverage also play a significant role in shaping expectations.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, such as award winners. Prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants.
The Best Actress Oscar will be awarded on March 14, 2027, during the annual Academy Awards ceremony. This event is one of the highlights of the entertainment calendar, celebrating achievements in film.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Julianne Moore: 84.5¢ on Kalshi, 83.0¢ on Polymarket, 85.5¢ on Polymarket US, 84.0¢ on Predict.fun; Inde Navarrette: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 11.0¢ on Polymarket, 8.5¢ on Polymarket US, 10.2¢ on Predict.fun; Anne Hathaway: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US; Renate Reinsve: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 2.0¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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