Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film
Live prediction market odds for Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give You Can See Everything about a 67.3% chance. NAZA follows at 22.5%, Once Upon a Time in Harlem follows at 3.6%, and Nuisance Bear follows at 2.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Musk has won Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Odds are influenced by critical reviews, audience reception, and previous awards won by the documentaries. Additionally, marketing campaigns and filmmaker reputations play a significant role.
The Oscar for Best Documentary Feature Film will be awarded on March 14, 2027. This date is part of the annual Academy Awards ceremony.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their predictions of outcomes. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and expectations of participants regarding the likelihood of winning.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are You Can See Everything: 68.5¢ on Kalshi, 66.0¢ on Polymarket; NAZA: 23.0¢ on Kalshi, 22.0¢ on Polymarket; Once Upon a Time in Harlem: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 2.1¢ on Polymarket; Nuisance Bear: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
