Traders give $25M about a 46.8% chance. $150M follows at 45.0%, $75M follows at 41.5%, and $50M follows at 40.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 18.5 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Frequently Asked Questions
What does FDV stand for in this context?
FDV stands for Fully Diluted Valuation, which estimates the total value of a cryptocurrency if all tokens were in circulation. It is a key metric for assessing the potential market cap of a project.
How is the FDV determined for this market?
The FDV is determined by the market activity and trading volume recorded one day after the launch. This includes the total supply of tokens and their market price at that time.
What factors can influence the FDV on launch day?
Factors influencing FDV on launch day include initial trading volume, investor sentiment, and market demand for the tokens. Any significant trades or announcements can also impact the valuation.
What does the Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch odds?
The latest available prices are $25M: 56.0¢ on Polymarket, 37.5¢ on Predict.fun; $150M: 45.0¢ on Polymarket; $75M: 41.5¢ on Polymarket; $50M: 40.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.