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Live prediction market odds for Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / Predict.fun

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Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Listed Sep 20, 2026 · Updated Oct 23, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 1, 2028

Best price · tap to trade

Magdalena Andersson78¢1.28xKalshiUlf Kristersson20¢5.00xKalshiEbba Busch5¢20.00xKalshi
Compare all 4 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give Magdalena Andersson about a 76.8% chance. Ulf Kristersson follows at 18.1%, Ebba Busch follows at 3.4%, and Jimmie Åkesson follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 17.6 percentage points.

Traders give Magdalena Andersson about a 76.8% chance. Ulf Kristersson follows at 18.1%, Ebba Busch follows at 3.4%, and Jimmie Åkesson follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 17.6 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Kalshi and Predictfun are tracking the Prime Minister of Sweden following the general election. The outcome will be determined by the election results on January 1, 2028, with odds fluctuating based on campaign developments and voter sentiment leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
MA
Magdalena Andersson
77%
Kalshi78¢
Polymarket77¢
Predict.fun94¢
Kalshi1.28x78¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
77.0%76¢78¢22¢24¢
PolymarketPolymarket
76.5%76¢77¢23¢24¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
94.1%59¢94¢6¢41¢
UK
Ulf Kristersson
18%
Kalshi20¢
Polymarket19¢
Predict.fun30¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
18.0%16¢20¢80¢84¢
PolymarketPolymarket
18.2%17¢19¢81¢83¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
30.3%0.5¢30¢70¢99.5¢
EB
Ebba Busch
3%
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket4¢
—
Kalshi20.00x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%2¢5¢95¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.3%3¢4¢96¢97¢
JÅ
Jimmie Åkesson
single venue0.25%
—
Polymarket0.3¢
—
Polymarket333.33x0.3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.3%0.2¢0.3¢99.7¢99.8¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Magdalena Andersson

Magdalena Andersson is the Leader of the Swedish Social Democratic Party and Leader of the Opposition. She served as Sweden's first female Prime Minister from November 2021 to October 2022. She has been a Member of the Riksdag for Stockholm County since 2014 and was Minister for Finance from 2014 to 2021.

About Ulf Kristersson

Ulf Kristersson is the former Prime Minister of Sweden and leader of the Moderate Party. He served as Prime Minister from October 2022 until his resignation on September 17, 2026, following the center-left opposition's narrow victory in the general election. Kristersson's tenure was marked by Sweden's accession to NATO and significant rearmament of the Swedish Armed Forces.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread17.6%
Platforms3
Candidates4
Volume$4.0M
Leader

Magdalena Andersson

76.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will the general election in Sweden take place?

The general election in Sweden is scheduled for January 1, 2028. This date is critical for determining the next Prime Minister.

What factors influence the odds in this market?

Odds in this market are influenced by campaign events, public opinion polls, and party endorsements leading up to the election. Changes in voter sentiment can significantly impact the predictions.

How do prediction markets resolve for this event?

The market resolves based on the official election results, specifically identifying who is declared the Prime Minister after the election. This resolution is contingent on the final vote count and any potential coalition agreements.

What does the Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election odds?

The latest available prices are Magdalena Andersson: 77.0¢ on Kalshi, 76.5¢ on Polymarket, 94.1¢ on Predict.fun; Ulf Kristersson: 18.0¢ on Kalshi, 18.2¢ on Polymarket, 30.3¢ on Predict.fun; Ebba Busch: 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 3.3¢ on Polymarket; Jimmie Åkesson: 0.3¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Lean · Last 24h
Full Feed
Magdalena AnderssonLeans No $717

Sold $717 of Yes

Ulf KristerssonLeans No $11

Bought $11 of No

Net flow from wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit. Buying No or selling Yes counts toward No.

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $65.6K lifetime sold $760 of Yes at 76¢

17h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $820K lifetime sold $3.8K of Yes at 76¢

1d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $66.5K lifetime sold $1.3K of No at 84¢

1d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $66.5K lifetime sold $638 of No at 85¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $10.2K lifetime sold $611 of Yes at 78¢

2d ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Trade on Kalshi →