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Live prediction market odds for WV-01 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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WV-01 House Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Carol Miller (R)96¢1.04xPolymarket USVince George (D)2¢50.00xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Carol Miller (R) about a 97.1% chance. Vince George (D) follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.7 percentage points.

Traders give Carol Miller (R) about a 97.1% chance. Vince George (D) follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.7 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WV-01 House Election, scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in the House of Representatives, influencing legislative priorities and party control.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
CM
Carol Miller (R)ARB
97%
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket99¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
97.7%97¢98¢2¢3¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
98.2%98¢99¢1¢2¢
VG
Vince George (D)
2%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US2¢
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket US50.00x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.4%1¢4¢96¢99¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
1.5%1¢2¢98¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
2.2%2¢3¢98¢98¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Carol Miller (R)

Carol Miller is the U.S. Representative for West Virginia's 1st congressional district, serving since 2023. She previously represented the 3rd district from 2019 to 2023. Miller has a history of electoral success and has been active in various legislative committees.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread2.7%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Carol Miller (R)

97.1% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: WV-01 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for WV-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the WV-01 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the WV-01 House Election?

Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout trends. Local issues and national political climate also play significant roles.

How does the WV-01 House Election affect national politics?

The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, impacting legislation and governance. It also serves as a barometer for voter sentiment ahead of future elections.

When will the WV-01 House Election take place?

The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing coincides with the general election, which typically sees higher voter engagement.

What does the WV-01 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest WV-01 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Carol Miller (R): 97.7¢ on Kalshi, 98.2¢ on Polymarket, 95.5¢ on Polymarket US; Vince George (D): 2.4¢ on Kalshi, 2.2¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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