Live prediction market odds for WV-01 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the WV-01 House Election, scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election is crucial as it could impact the balance of power in the House of Representatives, influencing legislative priorities and party control.
Republican party leads the “WV-01 House Election Winner” event at 94.0% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 6.3%. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout trends. Local issues and national political climate also play significant roles.
The outcome could shift the majority in the House of Representatives, impacting legislation and governance. It also serves as a barometer for voter sentiment ahead of future elections.
The election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. This timing coincides with the general election, which typically sees higher voter engagement.
WV-01 House Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 6%.
Republican party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 6% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Republican party
94.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for WV-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
