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Live prediction market odds for TN-07 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

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TN-07 House Election Winner

2026-11-03

Best price · tap to trade

Matt Van Epps (R)92¢1.09xPolymarket USDarden Copeland (D)8¢12.50xPolymarket US

About This Market

Traders give Matt Van Epps (R) about a 93.2% chance. Darden Copeland (D) follows at 7.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Traders give Matt Van Epps (R) about a 93.2% chance. Darden Copeland (D) follows at 7.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 4.5 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TN-07 House Election Winner for the upcoming 2026 election. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, particularly in light of shifting voter demographics and local issues.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MV
Matt Van Epps (R)ARB
93%
Kalshi95¢
Polymarket US92¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.09x92¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
92.9%90¢95¢5¢10¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
91.5%91¢92¢8¢9¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.2%94¢96¢4¢6¢
DC
Darden Copeland (D)
7%
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket US8¢
Polymarket6¢
Polymarket US12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.4%5¢9¢91¢95¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
7.0%7¢8¢92¢93¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Matt Van Epps (R)

Matt Van Epps is the U.S. Representative for Tennessee's 7th Congressional District, serving since December 2025. He previously served as Commissioner of the Tennessee Department of General Services from 2024 to 2025. Van Epps is a combat-decorated Army aviator and Lieutenant Colonel in the Tennessee Army National Guard.

About Darden Copeland (D)

Darden Copeland is the founder and CEO of Calvert Street Group, a national public affairs firm based in Nashville. He previously ran for Tennessee's 7th Congressional District in the 2025 special election, finishing second in the Democratic primary. Copeland's extensive experience in public affairs and his leadership in the private sector make him a significant contender in the upcoming election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Matt Van Epps (R)

93.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TN-07 House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for TN-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TN-07 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the TN-07 House Election odds?

Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Polling data and endorsements also play a significant role in shaping market perceptions.

How do prediction markets work for elections?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.

Why is the TN-07 district significant?

TN-07 is considered a battleground district that can swing either way in elections. Its outcome may impact the overall control of the House of Representatives.

What does the TN-07 House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TN-07 House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Matt Van Epps (R): 92.9¢ on Kalshi, 95.2¢ on Polymarket, 91.5¢ on Polymarket US; Darden Copeland (D): 9.4¢ on Kalshi, 5.0¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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