Relay FDV above one day after launch
Live prediction market odds for Relay FDV above one day after launch. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Compare all 10 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give $100M about a 60.6% chance. $600M follows at 59.5%, $300M follows at 55.0%, and $500M follows at 47.4%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 31.9 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T12:42:59.53621484Z
The threshold represents a specific valuation that must be surpassed for the market to resolve positively. This valuation is determined by the project's initial launch metrics.
The market will resolve on January 1, 2028, one day after the launch of Relay. Resolution depends on the valuation metrics available at that time.
Odds can be influenced by pre-launch speculation, investor sentiment, and initial trading volume. Additionally, any announcements or developments related to Relay before the resolution date may also affect the market.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are $100M: 50.5¢ on Polymarket, 70.8¢ on Predict.fun; $600M: 44.0¢ on Polymarket, 75.1¢ on Predict.fun; $300M: 39.0¢ on Polymarket, 70.9¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 40.0¢ on Polymarket, 54.8¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Resolved Nov 12
Final odds
