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Live prediction market odds for Relay FDV above one day after launch. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Relay FDV above one day after launch

2028-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$600M35¢2.86xPolymarket$300M38¢2.63xPolymarket$700M25¢4.00xPolymarket
Compare all 10 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $600M about a 34.0% chance. $300M follows at 27.9%, $700M follows at 25.1%, and $500M follows at 21.2%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 31.6 percentage points.

Traders give $600M about a 34.0% chance. $300M follows at 27.9%, $700M follows at 25.1%, and $500M follows at 21.2%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 31.6 percentage points.

Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the Relay FDV above one day after launch event. The market resolves based on whether the fully diluted valuation of Relay exceeds a specified threshold one day post-launch on January 1, 2028.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$600M
single venue34%
Polymarket35¢
—
Polymarket2.86x35¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
34.0%33¢35¢65¢67¢
$
$300M
28%
Polymarket38¢
Predict.fun71¢
Polymarket2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
36.5%35¢38¢62¢65¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
19.3%19¢71¢29¢81¢
$
$700M
25%
Polymarket25¢
Predict.fun50¢
Polymarket4.00x25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
23.5%22¢25¢75¢78¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
26.8%4¢50¢50¢97¢
$
$500M
21%
Polymarket38¢
Predict.fun55¢
Polymarket2.63x38¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
37.0%36¢38¢62¢64¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
5.4%5¢55¢45¢95¢
$
$100M
single venue19%
—
Predict.fun71¢
Predict.fun1.41x71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Predict.funPredict.fun
19.4%19¢71¢29¢81¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread31.6%
Platforms2
Candidates10
Leader

$600M

34.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Relay FDV above one day after launch

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-02T12:42:59.53621484Z

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the Relay FDV threshold?

The threshold represents a specific valuation that must be surpassed for the market to resolve positively. This valuation is determined by the project's initial launch metrics.

When will the Relay FDV market resolve?

The market will resolve on January 1, 2028, one day after the launch of Relay. Resolution depends on the valuation metrics available at that time.

What factors can influence the Relay FDV odds?

Odds can be influenced by pre-launch speculation, investor sentiment, and initial trading volume. Additionally, any announcements or developments related to Relay before the resolution date may also affect the market.

What does the Relay FDV above one day after launch prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Relay FDV above one day after launch odds?

The latest available prices are $600M: 34.0¢ on Polymarket; $300M: 36.5¢ on Polymarket, 19.3¢ on Predict.fun; $700M: 23.5¢ on Polymarket, 26.8¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 37.0¢ on Polymarket, 5.4¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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