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Live prediction market odds for Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$150M68¢1.47xPolymarket$300M42¢2.38xPolymarket$500M24¢4.17xPredict.fun
Compare all 7 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $150M about a 66.9% chance. $300M follows at 41.4%, $500M follows at 23.6%, and $800M follows at 15.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.4 percentage points.

Traders give $150M about a 66.9% chance. $300M follows at 41.4%, $500M follows at 23.6%, and $800M follows at 15.7%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 6.4 percentage points.

Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$150M
67%
Polymarket68¢
Predict.fun70¢
Polymarket1.47x68¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
66.0%64¢68¢32¢36¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
67.8%66¢70¢31¢34¢
$
$300M
41%
Polymarket42¢
Predict.fun43¢
Polymarket2.38x42¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
41.5%41¢42¢58¢59¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
41.4%40¢43¢57¢60¢
$
$500M
24%
Polymarket25¢
Predict.fun24¢
Predict.fun4.20x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
23.2%23¢24¢76¢78¢
$
$800M
16%
Polymarket13¢
Predict.fun32¢
Polymarket7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
12.5%12¢13¢87¢88¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
18.9%6¢32¢68¢94¢
$
$1BARB
5%
Polymarket7¢
Predict.fun4¢
Predict.fun23.26x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
6.4%6¢7¢93¢94¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
2.9%2¢4¢96¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.4%
Platforms2
Candidates7
Leader

$150M

66.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch odds?

The latest available prices are $150M: 66.0¢ on Polymarket, 67.8¢ on Predict.fun; $300M: 41.5¢ on Polymarket, 41.4¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 24.0¢ on Polymarket, 23.2¢ on Predict.fun; $800M: 12.5¢ on Polymarket, 18.9¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 6.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch prediction market payouts work?

For example, $150M at 66.9¢ implies about a 66.9% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily buying $150M

Smart Money Consensus$167
$167Yes
Smart Traders Split1
1Yes
PolymarketBuy Yes at 68¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

$150M
Yes$167 · 1 whale
$300M
No-$170 · 0 whales
$500M
No-$166 · 0 whales

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow