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Live prediction market odds for Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

Browse historical results
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Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2026?

2026-05-01

Best price · tap to trade

Mike Collins87¢1.15xKalshiJonathan McColumn50¢2.00xPolymarketBuddy Carter11¢9.09xKalshi
Compare all 19 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give Mike Collins about a 81.8% chance. Jonathan McColumn follows at 50.0%, Buddy Carter follows at 10.5%, and Earl Carter follows at 8.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.5 percentage points.

Traders give Mike Collins about a 81.8% chance. Jonathan McColumn follows at 50.0%, Buddy Carter follows at 10.5%, and Earl Carter follows at 8.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 8.5 percentage points.

Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2026. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflect broader political trends leading up to the election.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
PredictItPredictIt
Best price
MC
Mike CollinsARB
82%
Kalshi87¢
Polymarket80¢
PredictIt92¢
Kalshi1.15x87¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
86.0%85¢87¢13¢15¢
PolymarketPolymarket
77.5%75¢80¢20¢25¢
PredictItPredictIt
86.0%80¢92¢8¢20¢
JM
Jonathan McColumn
single venue50%
—
Polymarket50¢
—
Polymarket2.00x50¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.0%50¢50¢50¢50¢
BC
Buddy Carter
11%
Kalshi11¢
—
PredictIt10¢
Kalshi9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.5%10¢11¢89¢90¢
PredictItPredictIt
4.0%4¢10¢90¢96¢
EC
Earl Carter
single venue9%
—
Polymarket10¢
—
Polymarket9.90x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
8.8%8¢10¢90¢93¢
DD
Derek Dooley
6%
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket10¢
PredictIt11¢
Kalshi16.67x6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.0%4¢10¢90¢96¢
PredictItPredictIt
11.0%3¢11¢89¢97¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketPredictItPredictIt

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Mike Collins

Mike Collins is the U.S. Representative for Georgia's 10th Congressional District. He previously served as a trucking company owner and president of his local Chamber of Commerce. He is currently running for the U.S. Senate in Georgia's 2026 election.

About Derek Dooley

Derek Dooley is a Republican candidate for the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia. He previously served as head coach for the University of Tennessee football team. His candidacy is relevant as he seeks to unseat incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread8.5%
Platforms3
Candidates19
Leader

Mike Collins

81.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Mike Collins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Georgia Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Republican nominee in Georgia?

Factors include polling data, candidate endorsements, fundraising capabilities, and public sentiment. Additionally, national political trends and local issues can significantly impact the race.

When is the primary election for the Republican Senate nominee in Georgia?

The primary election is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This date is crucial as it determines which candidate will represent the Republican party in the general election.

How does the prediction market reflect the candidates' chances?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective insights of participants, reflecting their expectations about each candidate's likelihood of winning. As new information emerges, such as debates or campaign events, the odds can fluctuate accordingly.

What does the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia in 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are Mike Collins: 86.0¢ on Kalshi, 77.5¢ on Polymarket, 86.0¢ on PredictIt; Jonathan McColumn: 50.0¢ on Polymarket; Buddy Carter: 10.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.0¢ on PredictIt; Earl Carter: 8.8¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Collins Drops 8pp to 83% Despite Leading GOP Primary — Carter's Cash Gap LoomsCollins leads polling at 30% but holds $1.6M less cash than Carter, who can outspend him through May 19 with 40% of GOP voters still undecided.Apr 25, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Who will vote Yes to releasing Epstein files?WONPre-event: 0%
Who will leave Congress before July?LOSTPre-event: 1%
Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Prediction Market Track Record

Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?LOSTPre-event: 1%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Who will vote Yes to releasing Epstein files?

Resolved
WONMike Collins
Pre-event: 0%

Who will leave Congress before July?

Resolved

2026-07-08

LOSTMike Collins
Pre-event: 1%

Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

Resolved

2027-06-16

LOSTDerek Dooley
Pre-event: 1%