What determines the winner of the RI-01 House election?

The winner is determined by the total votes received by each candidate in the election held on November 4, 2026. Official results will be announced shortly after the polls close.

How do odds change in the RI-01 House winner market?

Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate fundraising, public appearances, and polling data. As the election date approaches, these elements can significantly impact market perceptions.

When will the RI-01 House election results be available?

Results for the RI-01 House election will be available shortly after the polls close on November 4, 2026. Official announcements will follow as votes are counted and verified.

What does the RI-01 House winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest RI-01 House winner odds?

The latest available prices are Gabe Amo (D): 97.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.2¢ on Polymarket; Kellie Keenan (R): 2.3¢ on Kalshi, 2.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Why do RI-01 House winner odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 1.4 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do RI-01 House winner prediction market payouts work?

For example, Gabe Amo (D) at 96.8¢ implies about a 96.8% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.