Live prediction market odds for TX-22 House Election Winner. Compare prices across .
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-22 House Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the TX-22 House Election Winner for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. This election could influence the balance of power in Congress, making it a focal point for both parties as they strategize their campaigns and voter outreach efforts.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Trever Nehls (R) | Yes |
Other | No result |
Marquette Greene-Scott (D) | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for TX-22 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the TX-22 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.
Key factors include candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and local demographic trends. Additionally, national political climate and major events leading up to the election can sway voter sentiment.
Prediction markets aggregate the collective insights and expectations of participants, reflecting their beliefs about the outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on new information, such as polls or campaign developments.
TX-22 is considered a battleground district that can impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. Winning this seat could be crucial for either party in achieving a majority.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
