Tainan Mayor Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for Tainan Mayor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Chen Ting-fei about a 95.7% chance. Hsieh Lung-chieh follows at 4.4%, Lin Yi-feng follows at 0.5%, and Lin Chun-hsien follows at 0.4%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.4 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Hsieh Lung-chieh wins the 2026 Tainan mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
The winner is determined by the total votes received by each candidate in the election. Official results are announced by the local election authority.
Trading is scheduled to close on November 29, 2026. This deadline marks the end of market activity, not necessarily the election date.
Odds are influenced by candidate polling, public sentiment, and campaign developments leading up to the election. Changes in these factors can cause fluctuations in market prices.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Chen Ting-fei: 95.0¢ on Kalshi, 96.4¢ on Polymarket; Hsieh Lung-chieh: 5.0¢ on Kalshi, 3.8¢ on Polymarket; Lin Yi-feng: 0.5¢ on Polymarket; Lin Chun-hsien: 0.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
