What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
Live prediction market odds for What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 8, 2026. Isaias was the officially declared outcome.
Kalshi is tracking the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the year 2026.
Kalshi is tracking the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the year 2026. This event is crucial as it influences weather preparedness, insurance claims, and emergency response strategies in coastal regions.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
IsaiasWINNER | Yes |
Arthur | No |
Bertha | No |
Cristobal | No |
Dolly | No |
Edouard | No |
Fay | No |
Gonzalo | No |
Hanna | No |
Josephine | No |
Kyle | No |
Leah | No |
Marco | No |
Nana | No |
Omar | No |
Paulette | No |
Rene | No |
Sally | No |
Teddy | No |
Vicky | No |
Wilfred | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.
Hurricanes are named based on a predetermined list established by the World Meteorological Organization. The names are used in rotation every six years, and a name may be retired if a storm is particularly deadly or costly.
Participants place bets on which name will be assigned to the first hurricane, with odds reflecting the likelihood of each name being chosen. Market dynamics shift based on meteorological forecasts and historical naming patterns.
The timing of the first hurricane can impact the severity of the hurricane season, influencing public safety measures and resource allocation. Early storms may indicate a more active season, prompting increased preparedness efforts.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
