Live prediction market odds for What will Trump say during his announcement?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Resolved 2026-08-26
This market resolved on 2026-08-26. Biden was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Kalshi is tracking what Trump will say during his announcement on August 26, 2026.
Kalshi is tracking what Trump will say during his announcement on August 26, 2026. This event is pivotal as Trump's statements can influence public opinion, market trends, and the political landscape leading up to the election cycle.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
BidenWINNER | 99% |
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation | 99% |
Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 99% |
Supreme Court | 99% |
Tariff | 99% |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 1% |
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% |
Alien | 1% |
America First | 1% |
Barack Hussein Obama | 1% |
China / Chinese | 1% |
Communist / Communism | 1% |
Crypto / Bitcoin | 1% |
Cuba / Cuban | 1% |
Election | 1% |
Fake News | 1% |
First Term | 1% |
Fraud | 1% |
Hormuz | 1% |
Hottest | 1% |
Iran (3+ times) | 1% |
Israel / Israeli | 1% |
Stock Market | 1% |
Transgender | 1% |
Trump | 1% |
Biden
99.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Donald Trump says Trump as part of next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada) , then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada) will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 4th, 2026 at 10:00 am ET (excluding Remarks in Las Vegas, Nevada). The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
Trump's announcement may be shaped by current events, public sentiment, and his political strategy. Media coverage and polling data can also play a role in determining his message.
Statements made during Trump's announcement can lead to fluctuations in stock and cryptocurrency markets. Investors often react to his comments on economic policies and international relations.
This announcement is crucial as it sets the tone for Trump's campaign and can impact voter sentiment. It also serves as a barometer for his influence within the Republican Party.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Biden: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Oil / Gas / Gasoline: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Supreme Court: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
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