Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Pro viewNew
Every venue, one board

Moneyline, spread, total and props, with the best price per side.

Open Pro view
Odds
SportsNFLNCAAFMLBCrypto
TennisElectionsPoliticsEconomicsEntertainmentAll Markets
Futures
NFLNCAAFMLBMidtermsNew
2028 PresidentialTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo CodeNovig Promo CodeProphetX Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Live odds across every major platform
  • Find the best price instantly
  • Spot live arbitrage opportunities
  • See where profitable traders are betting
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • NBA Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • 2026 MidtermsNew
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitrageMidtermsPromos

Live prediction market odds for SD-AL House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Oct 16, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

SD-AL House Election Winner

Listed Sep 8, 2026 · Updated Oct 22, 2026 · Expected to settle by Jan 4, 2027

2026 Midterms hub

New
Every 2026 House seat beside the Senate and governor races, priced across every venue.
Open the hub

Best price · tap to trade

Marty Jackley (R)96¢1.04xPolymarket USNikki Gronli (D)4¢25.00xKalshi

About This Market

Traders give Marty Jackley (R) about a 95.6% chance. Nikki Gronli (D) follows at 4.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Traders give Marty Jackley (R) about a 95.6% chance. Nikki Gronli (D) follows at 4.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the SD-AL House Election, set for November 3, 2026. The market resolves based on the official results announced by the state election office following the election day voting and counting process.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
MJ
Marty Jackley (R)
96%
Kalshi97¢
Polymarket US96¢
Polymarket96¢
Polymarket US1.04x96¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
96.3%96¢97¢3¢4¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
95.5%95¢96¢4¢5¢
PolymarketPolymarket
95.0%94¢96¢4¢6¢
NG
Nikki Gronli (D)
4%
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket US5¢
Polymarket5¢
Kalshi24.39x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
3.5%3¢4¢96¢97¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
4.5%4¢5¢95¢96¢
PolymarketPolymarket
4.3%4¢5¢95¢96¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Candidate Spotlight

About Marty Jackley (R)

Marty Jackley is the Attorney General of South Dakota, a position he has held since January 2023. He previously served as the state's Attorney General from 2009 to 2019 and as U.S. Attorney for the District of South Dakota from 2006 to 2009. Jackley is currently a candidate for South Dakota's At-Large Congressional District in the 2026 U.S. House election.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread1.3%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Volume$44K
Leader

Marty Jackley (R)

95.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: SD-AL House Election Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the House member sworn in for SD-AL for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the SD-AL congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the resolution date for the SD-AL House Election Winner market?

The market resolves on November 3, 2026, when the election results are officially announced. This date marks the end of voting and the beginning of the counting process.

How do odds change for the SD-AL House Election Winner?

Odds fluctuate based on various factors, including candidate campaigns, polling data, and voter turnout predictions. Significant events, such as debates or major endorsements, can also impact market prices.

What determines the winner in the SD-AL House Election?

The winner is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes in the election. Official results are certified by the state election office, which confirms the final outcome.

What does the SD-AL House Election Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest SD-AL House Election Winner odds?

The latest available prices are Marty Jackley (R): 96.3¢ on Kalshi, 95.0¢ on Polymarket, 95.5¢ on Polymarket US; Nikki Gronli (D): 3.5¢ on Kalshi, 4.3¢ on Polymarket, 4.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

More in the 2026 Midterms

Colorado Governor Election Winner

View

2026 US House of Representatives Control

View

WV-01 House Election Winner

View

TN-07 House Election Winner

View

2026 US Senate Control

View