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Live prediction market odds for How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and Opinion.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket / Opinion

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How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

↑ 100,00036¢2.78xPolymarketAbove $99,999.9936¢2.78xKalshiAbove $109,999.9920¢5.00xKalshi
Compare all 33 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give ↑ 100,000 about a 35.0% chance. Above $99,999.99 follows at 35.0%, Above $109,999.99 follows at 19.0%, and ↑ 110,000 follows at 18.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.0 percentage points.

Traders give ↑ 100,000 about a 35.0% chance. Above $99,999.99 follows at 35.0%, Above $109,999.99 follows at 19.0%, and ↑ 110,000 follows at 18.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 15.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions on how high Bitcoin will reach by 2026. Market sentiment is influenced by factors such as regulatory developments, technological advancements, and macroeconomic trends affecting cryptocurrency adoption.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
OpinionOpinion
Best price
↑1
↑ 100,000
35%
—
Polymarket36¢
Opinion50¢
Polymarket2.78x36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
35.0%35¢36¢64¢65¢
OpinionOpinion
—0¢50¢50¢100¢
A$
Above $99,999.99
single venue35%
Kalshi36¢
—
—
Kalshi2.78x36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
35.0%35¢36¢64¢65¢
A$
Above $109,999.99
single venue19%
Kalshi20¢
—
—
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
19.0%19¢20¢80¢81¢
↑1
↑ 110,000
18%
—
Polymarket18¢
Opinion60¢
Polymarket5.56x18¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
18.0%17¢18¢82¢83¢
OpinionOpinion
30.0%0¢60¢40¢100¢
WB
Will Bitcoin kimchi premium hit 8% in 2026
single venue16%
—
Polymarket19¢
—
Polymarket5.26x19¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
15.5%12¢19¢81¢88¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarketOpinionOpinion

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CF Benchmarks
OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread15.0%
Platforms3
Candidates33
Leader

↑ 100,000

35.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

Resolution Oracles
CF Benchmarks
OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

Price source: Binance Spot BTCUSDT one-minute OHLC candles on the Binance chart with “1m” selected. No other exchanges or pairs are considered. Time window: From 00:00 ET on February 1, 2026 through 23:59 ET on December 31, 2026, inclusive of both endpoints. Meaning of “hit”: For any “↑ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s High ≥ X at any time within the window; otherwise No. For any “↓ X” outcome: it immediately resolves Yes if any 1-minute candle’s Low ≤ X at any time within the window; otherwise No.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclebinance.com

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence Bitcoin's price predictions for 2026?

Key factors include regulatory changes, market demand, technological innovations, and macroeconomic conditions. These elements can significantly impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.

How do prediction markets determine Bitcoin's potential price range?

Prediction markets aggregate insights from participants who speculate on future prices based on available information. As new data emerges, odds can fluctuate to reflect changing expectations.

Why is the 2026 Bitcoin price prediction significant?

The 2026 prediction is crucial as it reflects long-term investor confidence in Bitcoin's viability and growth. It also serves as a barometer for the overall health of the cryptocurrency market.

How high will Bitcoin get in 2026: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

How high will Bitcoin get in 2026: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are ↑ 100,000: 35.0¢ on Polymarket, 50.0¢ on Opinion; Above $99,999.99: 35.0¢ on Kalshi; Above $109,999.99: 19.0¢ on Kalshi; ↑ 110,000: 18.0¢ on Polymarket, 30.0¢ on Opinion. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
Smart Money Positioning (24 hours)
Full Feed

Smart money is heavily fading ↑ 130,000

Smart Money Consensus$66.5K
$4.0KYes$62.5KNo
Smart Traders Split2
1Yes1No
PolymarketBuy No at 94¢

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

↑ 100,000
No-$1.1K · 2 whales
↑ 110,000
No$390 · 3 whales
↑ 120,000
No$6.8K · 1 whale

$10K+ lifetime-profit wallets · 24h net flow

Smart Money Feed
Full Feed

Live tracking of high-volume trades from historically profitable accounts.

Trader up $104K lifetime sold $544 of No at 96¢

12h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $201K lifetime bet $4.5K on No at 66¢

12h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $104K lifetime sold $2.5K of No at 96¢

12h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $104K lifetime sold $2K of No at 66¢

12h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →

Trader up $104K lifetime sold $4K of No at 66¢

12h ago
PolymarketKalshiWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Trade on Kalshi →