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News AnalysisErling HaalandGoogle Year in Search 2026Manchester CityPSGPolymarket

Haaland's Odds of Being Google's #2 Search Fall to 16% After PSG

October 15, 20262 min readJoseph Francia, Market Analyst
Erling HaalandPolymarket

44%Up28 ptsfrom 16% when published, 7 days ago

  • Traders have cut Haaland's chance of finishing as Google's runner-up for 2026, even after a two-goal night in a City loss.
  • Google's Year in Search report settles the market, usually in December.
PolymarketTrade YES at 44¢
Erling Haaland
Erling HaalandWikipedia

Haaland's chances of being the #2 most searched person on Google in 2026 fell from 22% to 16% on Polymarket's #2 Searched Person on Google 2026 market, a drop of about 6 percentage points. The fall came in the 72 hours after he scored twice in Manchester City's Oct. 14 loss to PSG, according to the Premier League. Google's Year in Search report settles the market.


Haaland's Chances of Being Google's #2 Most Searched Person Fall to 16% After PSG Defeat

The price fell during one of Haaland's strongest stretches. The double against PSG gave him 10 goals in 9 appearances across all competitions this 2026/27 season. In that match, he became Manchester City's all-time leading Champions League scorer with his 37th goal for the club, surpassing Agüero's 36, the club reported. UEFA also recognized him as the fastest player to reach 60 Champions League goals.

The decline started right after the defeat, but we could not establish that the match caused it. The contract settled at 16% on Oct. 15.

Consensus prediction market price

When Google's Year in Search 2026 Will Settle the Haaland Market

The market resolves on the "People" section of Google's Year in Search 2026 report. Google typically releases it in early-to-mid December, although it has not confirmed a 2026 date. Searches drive the ranking, not results on the pitch. His summer World Cup run with Norway, which reached the quarterfinals, had already made him the favorite for the #1 spot in Covers.com reporting updated Sept. 29.

Before December, traders can watch two signals. The first is his scoring pace and City's results. The second is off-pitch interest. Haaland made his first public comments after City was found guilty of large-scale financial rule-breaking, urging the club to "stick together," AP News reported. Scrutiny of his transfer could keep his name in searches for reasons unrelated to goals.

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