Vikings' Breece Hall Odds Fall to 7% as Jets Say He Stays
1 venue1%Down6 ptsfrom 7% when published, 5 days ago
- Traders are betting Breece Hall stays a Jet after New York publicly ruled out a deal, leaving Minnesota a long shot.

Will the Vikings Trade for Breece Hall? Market Drops to 7% After Jets Shut the Door
A Vikings trade for Breece Hall looks unlikely: Minnesota's chance in Kalshi's Breece Hall Next Team market is 7% as of Nov. 7, 2026, and the Jets have publicly said they are keeping him ahead of the Nov. 10 deadline. Head coach Aaron Glenn said "Breece will still be here," and Adam Schefter reported the Jets are not planning to trade him, according to Pro Football Rumors. Offensive coordinator Frank Reich then called Hall "our guy," as reported by Sports Illustrated.
Following those statements, Minnesota's implied probability fell from 20% to 7% between Nov. 4 and Nov. 7, 2026, a drop of 13 percentage points. The contract traded as low as 4% during that window. NFL.com's Zack Rosenblatt also reported the Jets are not planning a trade. SNY's Connor Hughes reported no realistic discussions with other teams and that the Jets love Hall as a 1-2 punch.
Minnesota's link to Hall rests on speculation, not a reported pursuit. The 6-1 Vikings have been connected mainly to Colts running back Jonathan Taylor, with Hall floated as a fallback if Taylor is unavailable. Commentators have pointed to the college-roommate tie between Jets GM Darren Mougey and Vikings coach Kevin O'Connell. No Vikings-Hall talks have been reported.
What Could Reverse the Vikings' Breece Hall Odds Before the Nov. 10 Deadline
Public denials do not bind a front office. Schefter and Ian Rapoport both expected teams needing a running back to call the Jets, and the 2-6 Jets remain sellers on paper. The Denver Broncos are pursuing Taylor. If Denver lands him, Minnesota would lose its preferred target and the fallback scenario would gain weight, though that sequence remains speculation.
The backfield picture also complicates the Jets' stance. Braelon Allen's 504 yards over five games, including 147 against the Raiders, drove the trade chatter while Hall missed five straight games with a quadriceps injury. Hall told ESPN he is ready to play Week 9 at Kansas City after practicing fully Thursday, and Reich described the backfield as a mix with Allen. Hall is signed through a three-year, roughly $45.75 million extension from May 2026, which makes a trade more costly for any acquiring team.
Live market odds
1 venueBreece Hall Next Team
Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Kalshi.
MinnesotaIn this story
1%New York J
99%Arizona
2%Washington
1%
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Traders tracking the full field can follow the Breece Hall next team market. The deciding test comes at 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2026. If Hall is still a Jet when the trade deadline passes, the Vikings outcome is effectively settled.
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