Will Hyperliquid Hit $100 in October? Odds Fall to 2% as HYPE Slips

Hyperliquid looks unlikely to hit $100 in October. In Polymarket's "What price will Hyperliquid hit in October?" market, the ↑ 100 contract priced at 2% on Oct. 20. HYPE traded near $77-79 on Oct. 19-20, down 8.9% week over week according to BuyHype. Reaching $100 from that range would take a gain of roughly 27-30% before the month closes on Oct. 31. Even HYPE's all-time high near $98 on Sept. 23 fell short of that mark.

The ↑ 100 contract fell from 8% to 2% over three days, and 2% was the lowest level in that window.

Live market odds

2 venues

What price will Hyperliquid hit in October?

Each outcome's chance, from what traders are paying right now on Polymarket and Predict.fun.

↑ 100In this story

4%

Polymarket12.05x8.3¢

↑ 112

11%

PolymarketBest price20.00x5¢Predict.fun5.00x20¢

↑ 108

2%

Polymarket24.39x4.1¢

↑ 104

5%

Polymarket10.87x9.2¢

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Why the Hyperliquid $100 Odds Fell: HYPE's Slide, With No Single Catalyst

We could not tie the repricing to any breaking headline from Oct. 18-20. The price action is the likeliest driver. HYPE held around $80-81 from Oct. 13 to Oct. 18, then slipped into the high $70s. That widened the gap to $100 from about $19-20 to about $21-23. One snapshot put HYPE at $77.41 as funds shed $4.95 million, ad-hoc-news.de reported. CryptoNews.net noted the token had slipped below key moving averages.

The week also brought supportive news, and none of it lifted the price. FXStreet reported that Multicoin Capital named HYPE its largest hedge-fund holding. Protocol fees topped $1 billion, per ad-hoc-news.de, and BuyHype recorded a 16.3% weekly rise in fees.

The math works against a rebound. HYPE would need to recover through resistance in the $83.7-$88 range and then clear the Sept. 23 high near $98. It has never traded at $100, and analysts treat that level as key psychological resistance. With fewer than 12 trading days left, every flat session adds to the required daily gain.

The milestone to watch is whether HYPE retakes the high $80s before the Oct. 31 close. That would be the first evidence capable of reversing the move. Without it, the implied probability on the Hyperliquid October price market should keep decaying toward zero as the window closes.

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