#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?
Live prediction market odds for #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Compare all 24 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Boston about a 98.0% chance. HOUSEWIFE follows at 39.0%, Been By Now follows at 10.0%, and Choosin' Texas follows at 3.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.1 percentage points.
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PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Patient Zero is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
PolymarketBillboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of November 21, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
The #2 song is determined by a combination of sales, radio airplay, and streaming data. Billboard publishes the chart weekly, reflecting the most popular songs in the U.S.
Odds are influenced by song releases, streaming performance, and social media trends. As songs gain popularity or decline, the odds will adjust accordingly.
Trading closes on November 16, 2026, just days before the Billboard chart is published. This deadline allows for final adjustments based on the latest trends.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Boston: 98.0¢ on Kalshi; HOUSEWIFE: 39.0¢ on Kalshi; Been By Now: 10.0¢ on Kalshi; Choosin' Texas: 3.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
