Traders give Phil Murphy about a 29.8% chance. Raphael Warnock follows at 28.0%, Gina Raimondo follows at 26.8%, and Andrew Yang follows at 25.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 96.9 percentage points.
Traders give Phil Murphy about a 29.8% chance. Raphael Warnock follows at 28.0%, Gina Raimondo follows at 26.8%, and Andrew Yang follows at 25.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Opinion. The largest cross-platform price difference is 96.9 percentage points.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the 2028 Democratic VP Nominee. The nominee will be determined at the Democratic National Convention, scheduled for August 25, 2028, and odds fluctuate based on candidate endorsements and polling data leading up to the event.
Phil Murphy is the former Governor of New Jersey, having served from 2018 to 2026. He was the first Democratic governor in New Jersey to win a second term since 1977. Murphy's tenure was marked by significant economic growth and progressive policies.
About Raphael Warnock
Raphael Warnock is the junior U.S. Senator from Georgia, serving since January 2021. Before his election, he was the senior pastor of Atlanta's Ebenezer Baptist Church, the former pulpit of Martin Luther King Jr. He is recognized for his advocacy on voting rights, healthcare, and economic mobility.
About Gina Raimondo
Gina Raimondo is the Co-Chair and CEO of RAISE US, a national organization aiding Americans' transition to an AI economy. She served as the 40th U.S. Secretary of Commerce from 2021 to 2025, focusing on economic development and AI policy. Raimondo was the 75th Governor of Rhode Island, the state's first woman governor, from 2015 to 2021.
About Andrew Yang
Andrew Yang is the co-chair of the Forward Party, a centrist political organization he founded in 2021. He previously ran for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020, advocating for universal basic income. Yang's leadership in the Forward Party reflects his commitment to providing an alternative to the two major U.S. political parties.
About Jared Polis
Jared Polis is the 43rd Governor of Colorado, serving since January 8, 2019. Before his gubernatorial tenure, he represented Colorado's 2nd Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2009 to 2019. As governor, he has focused on education reform, economic development, and renewable energy initiatives.
About Roy Cooper
Roy Cooper is a Democratic politician and attorney from North Carolina. He served as the state's 75th governor from 2017 to 2025 and was the longest-serving attorney general in North Carolina's history, holding office from 2001 to 2017. Cooper is currently a candidate for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina's 2026 election, seeking to succeed retiring Republican Senator Thom Tillis.
About John Fetterman
John Fetterman is the current U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania, serving since January 2023. Prior to this, he was the Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania from 2019 to 2023 and Mayor of Braddock from 2005 to 2019. His extensive experience in public service and leadership roles in Pennsylvania's government make him a significant figure in the state's political landscape.
About Pete Buttigieg
Pete Buttigieg is a former U.S. Secretary of Transportation and former mayor of South Bend, Indiana. He served as Secretary of Transportation from 2021 to 2025, overseeing numerous infrastructure projects and transportation safety initiatives. Buttigieg is recognized for his leadership in urban development and transportation policy.
About Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff is the senior United States Senator from Georgia, serving since 2021. Before his election, he was a documentary filmmaker and investigative journalist. He has led bipartisan investigations into military housing conditions and corruption in federal prisons.
About Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly is the senior U.S. Senator from Arizona, serving a full six-year term that began in January 2023. He previously served as a U.S. Navy combat pilot and NASA astronaut. His extensive military and aerospace experience, combined with his current legislative role, underscore his qualifications in national security and technology policy.
About Kim Kardashian
Kim Kardashian is the founder and CEO of Skims, a shapewear and loungewear brand valued at $5 billion as of November 2025. She gained prominence through the reality television series 'Keeping Up with the Kardashians,' which aired from 2007 to 2021. Kardashian has expanded her business ventures to include a skincare line and a private equity firm, SKKY Partners, co-founded in 2022.
About Bernie Sanders
Bernie Sanders is the senior U.S. Senator from Vermont, serving his fourth term after re-election in 2024. He previously served 16 years in the House of Representatives, making him the longest-serving independent member of Congress. Sanders is known for his consistent progressive voting record and small-dollar fundraising efforts.
About Wes Moore
Wes Moore is the 63rd Governor of Maryland, having taken office on January 18, 2023. Before his election, he served as CEO of the Robin Hood Foundation from 2017 to 2021. As governor, Moore has focused on economic equity, education, public safety, and climate change initiatives.
About LeBron James
LeBron James is a professional basketball player for the Los Angeles Lakers. He is the NBA's all-time leading scorer and has won four NBA championships. His extensive experience and leadership in sports make him a notable figure in public life.
About Andy Beshear
Andy Beshear is the current Governor of Kentucky, serving his second term since 2023. He previously served as the state's Attorney General from 2016 to 2019. Beshear has demonstrated electoral success in a traditionally Republican state, winning three statewide elections, and has been active in national Democratic leadership roles.
About Gretchen Whitmer
Gretchen Whitmer is the current Governor of Michigan, serving her second term since January 1, 2023. She previously served as the state's 49th governor from 2019 to 2023. Whitmer has a track record of bipartisan legislation and infrastructure improvements, including the repair of over 26,500 lane miles of roads.
About James Talarico
James Talarico is a Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate from Texas. He has served as a state representative since 2018, representing the 50th district. Talarico has been recognized for his work on education reform and healthcare legislation.
About Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani is the current mayor of New York City, having assumed office in January 2026. Prior to this, he served as a member of the New York State Assembly from 2021 to 2025, representing the 36th district. As a democratic socialist, Mamdani has focused on progressive policies such as affordable housing, fare-free public transit, and community-based public safety.
About J.B. Pritzker
J.B. Pritzker is the 43rd Governor of Illinois, serving since 2019. He was re-elected in 2022 with the highest vote share for any Democratic governor in over 60 years. As governor, Pritzker has balanced the state budget annually, eliminated a multi-billion-dollar bill backlog, improved pension funding, and achieved ten credit rating upgrades.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: 2028 Democratic VP Nominee
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket US
Primary Rule
This market will settle to Yes if Andy Beshear wins and accepts the Democratic Party nomination for Vice-President in the 2028 United States Presidential Election. Outcome sourced from the Democratic Party.
Any replacement of the Democratic Party Vice-Presidential nominee before election day will not affect the settlement of this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
When will the Democratic VP nominee be decided?
The Democratic VP nominee will be decided at the Democratic National Convention on August 25, 2028. This event marks the official nomination process for the party.
What factors influence the odds for the Democratic VP nominee?
Odds for the Democratic VP nominee are influenced by candidate endorsements, polling data, and public perception leading up to the convention. Significant events such as debates and campaign announcements also play a role.
How do prediction markets work for the VP nominee?
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of who will be the VP nominee. Prices reflect the collective beliefs of market participants about the likelihood of each candidate's nomination.
What does the 2028 Democratic VP Nominee prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket, PredictIt, Opinion in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest 2028 Democratic VP Nominee odds?
The latest available prices are Phil Murphy: 53.0¢ on Polymarket, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US; Raphael Warnock: 49.5¢ on Polymarket, 6.5¢ on Polymarket US; Gina Raimondo: 52.0¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US; Andrew Yang: 48.5¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
