US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026 about a 2.3% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.2 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf the Nuclear Regulatory Commission has issued a new combined license authorizing the construction and operations of a new nuclear nuclear power facility, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Factors include regulatory compliance, safety assessments, public opinion, and political support. Additionally, advancements in technology and energy needs play a crucial role.
Granting a license could lead to increased investment in nuclear energy projects and influence the overall energy mix. It may also affect job creation and technological innovation in the sector.
New reactors could provide low-carbon energy, contributing to climate change mitigation efforts. However, concerns about waste management and safety must also be addressed.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026: 2.3¢ on Kalshi, 2.4¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
